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Jets at Golden Knights
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
FinalT-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chandler Stephenson's goal at 5:37 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were WPG 33, VGK 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 2.1 goals below expected; Laurent Brossoit stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (2 G, 1 A), 2. Chandler Stephenson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Laurent Brossoit (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Stone2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    L. Brossoit31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG11711006233
VGKVGK08219312539

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(3)PPG
    N. Pionk (2), N. Schmidt (2)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    9:18

2nd period

  1. VGK
    W. Karlsson(2)
    P. Kessel (1), R. Smith (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:54
  2. VGK
    J. Eichel(1)
    A. Pietrangelo (1), M. Amadio (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    10:25
  3. WPG
    K. Stenlund(1)
    S. Maenalanen (1), D. DeMelo (1)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    16:01

3rd period

  1. VGK
    C. Stephenson(1)
    A. Pietrangelo (2), M. Stone (1)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +27 pts
    2-3
    5:37
  2. VGK
    M. Stone(1)
    C. Stephenson (1), B. Howden (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    13:01
  3. VGK
    M. Stone(2)
    W. Karlsson (1), P. Kessel (2)
    wristxG 0.06
    2-5
    17:30

Penalties

WPG 12 PIM·VGK 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:55WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Holdingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min
  • 7:40VGKNicolas Hague · Trippingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 12:57WPGMorgan Barron · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 16:11VGKNicolas Roy · Roughingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 16:11WPGBrenden Dillon · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
  • 16:26VGKAlex Pietrangelo · Roughingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 18:48WPGNino Niederreiter · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 19:57WPGDylan Samberg · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 19:57VGKIvan Barbashev · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Samberg2 min

2nd

  • 6:47WPGDylan Samberg · Interferencedrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 7:09VGKChandler Stephenson · Hookingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalWPG goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Chandler Stephenson, 3rd 5:37 — VGK 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.27R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.18M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.17K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.16C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.13N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.13W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.13C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.12W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.12C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.10J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.09C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.08N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.06M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.04B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01
VGK5 G · 2.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVGK
3.32 G
All situations
5 G2.9
2.61 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG57%43%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.25 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVGK
33
Shots on goal
39
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
10
73
Hits
64
16
Blocked shots
13
16
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000050.41500—24:44
2D. DeMeloD011000.00320—21:45
4N. PionkD011-410.06910—21:22
55M. ScheifeleC000-320.250003820:30
81K. ConnorL000-181.19100—19:21
5B. DillonD000-230.15332—18:58
80P. DuboisC000-210.095106418:57
88N. SchmidtD011-100.00100—16:23
26B. WheelerR000-110.1382010015:29
7V. NamestnikovC000-110.295225015:21
62N. NiederreiterR000-220.17502—15:06
17A. LowryC101-230.144103314:43
22M. AppletonC000-100.00510013:59
54D. SambergD000-110.15104—13:00
28K. StenlundC101+110.092102511:03
36M. BarronC000-230.19602010:14
8S. MaenalanenR011+110.00510—10:07
19D. GustafssonC000+100.005107508:58
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)39345.8722.93-2.0760:00

Series

VGK leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).