Skip to content

Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken

FinalClimate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Seattle Kraken 4-1. The Kraken scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artturi Lehkonen's goal at 16:57 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 69% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were COL 39, SEA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Philipp Grubauer (35 saves, .921), 3. Devon Toews (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    P. Grubauer35 saves, .921
  3. ★★★
    COL
    D. Toews3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL113214112439
SEASEA1100409123

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:48
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:40

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    7:21
  2. COL
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    16:57

3rd period

  1. COL
    pokexG 0.82
    4-1
    19:48

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·SEA 12 PIM

1st

  • 8:02SEAVince Dunn · Interferencedrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 17:00COLDenis Malgin · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

2nd

  • 1:47SEAMatty Beniers · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 10:07SEATye Kartye · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 11:17COLMikko Rantanen · Roughingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min
  • 11:17COLArtturi Lehkonen · Slashingdrawn by Philipp Grubauer2 min
  • 11:17SEAWill Borgen · Roughingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 17:44SEAJordan Eberle · Boardingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

3rd

  • 2:10COLAlex Newhook · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 15:37SEAYanni Gourde · Slashingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalCOL goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Artturi Lehkonen, 2nd 16:57 — COL 69% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.21M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.16R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.10O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.09Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.08A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.05T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.05V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.04A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.04A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.03V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.03R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.00O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA1 G · 1.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSEA
3.83 G
All situations
1 G1.8
1.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
1.50 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL71%29%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 1.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSEA
39
Shots on goal
23
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/5
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
31
Hits
35
12
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
9
13
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD022+340.16110—26:53
29N. MacKinnonC000+370.430106024:46
7D. ToewsD033+310.05430—23:51
96M. RantanenR112+360.610026423:44
37J. CompherL000-130.220103322:16
62A. LehkonenL202+351.05402—21:31
49S. GirardD000-110.01100—18:35
9E. RodriguesC011030.40010018:31
4B. ByramD000+110.04500—18:04
3J. JohnsonD000000.01310—15:11
20L. EllerC000020.081008313:39
25L. O'ConnorR000+110.04420—13:16
6E. JohnsonD101010.06420—12:09
83M. NietoL000010.11100—11:55
11A. CoglianoC000000.13200011:01
18A. NewhookC000020.4100210009:04
59B. MeyersC000000.00100005:00
81D. MalginC000010.04002004:50
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)23221.9571.83+0.8359:44

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).