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Avalanche at Kraken
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
Seattle Kraken
4
FinalClimate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Seattle Kraken 6-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 3:01 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were COL 34, SEA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 2.0 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G), 2. Matty Beniers (1 G), 3. Cale Makar (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    M. Beniers1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL21111538634
SEASEA11128110429

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    J. Schwartz(1)
    J. Schultz (2), A. Wennberg (2)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:08
  2. COL
    J. Compher(1)SHG
    C. Makar (2), A. Lehkonen (2)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:07
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(1)
    M. Rantanen (1), D. Toews (2)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    19:15

2nd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(1)
    A. Newhook (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:33
  2. SEA
    J. Oleksiak(1)
    Y. Gourde (3), O. Bjorkstrand (1)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    12:51
  3. SEA
    M. Beniers(1)
    J. McCann (1), J. Eberle (1)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +20 pts
    3-3
    13:10

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(2)
    D. Toews (3)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +26 pts
    4-3
    3:01
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(2)
    B. Byram (3), E. Rodrigues (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    5-3
    4:29
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(3)EN
    A. Lehkonen (3)
    wristxG 0.72win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    17:46
  4. SEA
    J. Schwartz(2)PPG
    J. Schultz (3)
    tip-inxG 0.12
    6-4
    19:20

Penalties

COL 12 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:30COLBen Meyers · Slashingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 12:49SEACarson Soucy · Slashingdrawn by Denis Malgin2 min
  • 15:46COLSamuel Girard · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 18:49SEAJared McCann · Trippingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 18:59COLCale Makar · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

2nd

  • 9:29SEAEeli Tolvanen · Slashingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 17:30COLserved by D. Malgin · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 7:52COLLogan O'Connor · Slashingdrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min
  • 19:16COLNathan MacKinnon · Cross checkingdrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalCOL goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 3rd 3:01 — COL 47% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Beniers · Goal · xG 0.21J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.16A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.14J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.14J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.12Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.10J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.10J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.09J. Oleksiak · Goal · xG 0.09E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.08O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.08R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.07A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.03M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.03W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA4 G · 1.9 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSEA
4.45 G
All situations
4 G1.9
2.84 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL77%23%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.61 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSEA
34
Shots on goal
29
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
38
10
Blocked shots
19
3
Giveaways
6
12
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD112+310.19122—23:23
7D. ToewsD022+230.04100—22:50
29N. MacKinnonC202+250.610226021:24
62A. LehkonenL022+120.36010—21:20
4B. ByramD011+120.19100—21:09
37J. CompherL101+230.451004720:43
49S. GirardD000010.04212—19:52
9E. RodriguesC011010.2510010018:56
96M. RantanenR213+261.250106018:19
6E. JohnsonD000000.00520—15:46
83M. NietoL000+120.09300—15:16
42J. MansonD000000.00810—15:00
20L. EllerC000-120.170008014:20
25L. O'ConnorR000020.2100210011:59
11A. CoglianoC000+110.15000008:10
81D. MalginC000-120.22500007:37
59B. MeyersC000000.0010210007:18
18A. NewhookC011010.132003306:39
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)29254.8621.95-2.0560:00

Series

SEA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).