Skip to content
Kraken at Avalanche
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalBall Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Seattle Kraken 3-2. The Avalanche came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Devon Toews's goal at 12:59 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were SEA 29, COL 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 38 of 41 (.927); Alexandar Georgiev stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Devon Toews (1 G, 1 A), 2. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Valeri Nichushkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    D. Toews1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA21101206229
COLCOL010216115341

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    J. Schultz(1)
    E. Tolvanen (1), Y. Gourde (1)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:40
  2. SEA
    B. Tanev(1)SHG
    Y. Gourde (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    13:27

2nd period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(1)
    C. Makar (1), B. Byram (2)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    6:42
  2. COL
    V. Nichushkin(1)
    E. Rodrigues (1), D. Toews (1)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    7:30

3rd period

  1. COL
    D. Toews(1)
    A. Lehkonen (1), S. Girard (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +35 pts
    2-3
    12:59

Penalties

SEA 8 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:56COLJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 12:15SEAJamie Oleksiak · Interferencedrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 14:45SEAJordan Eberle · Slashingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min

2nd

  • 14:50COLNathan MacKinnon · High stickingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 18:00SEABrandon Tanev · Roughingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 18:00COLCale Makar · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

3rd

  • 16:42SEAAdam Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 16:42COLEvan Rodrigues · Slashingdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSEA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Devon Toews, 3rd 12:59 — COL 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.33N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.18N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.18B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.15D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.15B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.13J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.11E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.07E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.07C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.06J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.06A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.06J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.05B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.02M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.00B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 3.0 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsCOL
1.82 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA33%67%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
41
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
8
40
Hits
50
10
Blocked shots
20
3
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000-130.10312—24:49
29V. DunnD000-110.09400—24:08
24J. OleksiakD000-100.00432—19:26
21A. WennbergC000-120.461004419:24
17J. SchwartzL000-130.093005719:16
7J. EberleR000-230.10202—18:18
37Y. GourdeC022+120.214001018:00
10M. BeniersC000-120.090104617:42
22O. BjorkstrandR000010.120105017:41
3W. BorgenD000-110.00400—16:35
19J. McCannL000-110.0120010015:49
4J. SchultzD101+110.16010—15:08
20E. TolvanenR011010.05310—14:24
28C. SoucyD000+110.00210—13:55
67M. GeekieC000020.060007512:10
13B. TanevL101+110.09512—11:23
91D. SprongR000010.01100—08:55
9R. DonatoC000030.1320010006:50
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)41383.9272.71-0.2958:06

Series

SEA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).