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Jets at Avalanche
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV ALT, TSN3·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Rodrigues's goal at 3:01 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were WPG 20, COL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. David Rittich stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Evan Rodrigues (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 G), 3. Kevin Stenlund (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    E. Rodrigues1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Stenlund1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG082804220
COLCOL191828425

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    D. Malgin(13)
    L. Eller (12), A. Newhook (16)
    batxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:33

2nd period

  1. WPG
    A. Jonsson-Fjallby(6)
    N. Pionk (23), B. Dillon (21)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:15
  2. WPG
    K. Stenlund(6)SHG
    M. Barron (13)
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    14:59
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(55)PPG
    E. Rodrigues (22), D. Toews (42)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    16:11

3rd period

  1. COL
    E. Rodrigues(16)
    A. Lehkonen (30), B. Hunt (6)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +25 pts
    2-3
    3:01
  2. COL
    A. Lehkonen(21)EN
    B. Byram (14), L. Eller (13)
    wristxG 0.52win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    18:31

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:03COLMatt Nieto · High stickingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 17:47COLDevon Toews · Interferencedrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min

2nd

  • 8:22WPGNeal Pionk · Holdingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 14:44WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 3:57WPGDylan Samberg · Trippingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 7:33COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Karson Kuhlman2 min
  • 11:08WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Lars Eller0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalWPG goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Evan Rodrigues, 3rd 3:01 — COL 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.52L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.27N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.20A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.20A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.14D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.13B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.10J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.08A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.07J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.07E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Malgin · Goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.02J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.01D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 2.7 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCOL
1.62 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 61 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG38%62%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCOL
20
Shots on goal
25
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
12
11
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD011-220.08022—22:07
5B. DillonD011010.01110—21:34
2D. DeMeloD000000.00100—20:30
81K. ConnorL000-130.40110—20:00
7V. NamestnikovC000020.072124219:19
54D. SambergD000+110.09012—18:27
17A. LowryC000-220.080005017:51
62N. NiederreiterR000-220.13010—17:32
77K. CapobiancoD000-110.06210—17:18
20K. KuhlmanC000-100.06100017:05
22M. AppletonC000-100.00100016:49
64L. StanleyD000000.02010—16:07
36M. BarronC011020.11010013:40
19D. GustafssonC000+100.000004412:51
71A. Jonsson-FjallbyL101+110.15200—12:10
8S. MaenalanenR000-100.03000—11:37
21D. ToninatoC000-120.062106011:28
28K. StenlundC101+210.200002508:36
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)24213.8752.14-0.8659:32

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).