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Jets at Avalanche
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Colorado Avalanche
3
Final/OTTV ALT2, SNW·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-3 in overtime, Neal Pionk scoring at 0:31. The Jets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Neal Pionk's goal at 0:31 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were WPG 28, COL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.7 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Neal Pionk (2 G), 2. Mikko Rantanen (2 G, 1 A), 3. Cole Perfetti (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Pionk2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Perfetti1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG2111110511428
COLCOL0103140900333

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    S. Gagner(2)PPG
    A. Lowry (1), C. Perfetti (1)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    6:52
  2. WPG
    N. Pionk(1)
    M. Appleton (1), J. Morrissey (2)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    13:21

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(2)
    N. MacKinnon (6), D. Toews (3)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    2:14
  2. WPG
    C. Perfetti(1)
    B. Wheeler (2), P. Dubois (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    9:44
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(3)
    B. Byram (1), V. Nichushkin (3)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    16:26
  4. COL
    V. Nichushkin(5)PPG
    M. Rantanen (6), C. Makar (5)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    18:27

Overtime

  1. WPG
    N. Pionk(2)
    M. Appleton (2)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    0:31

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:23COLSamuel Girard · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 12:57WPGCole Perfetti · Roughingdrawn by Martin Kaut2 min
  • 12:57COLMartin Kaut · Roughingdrawn by Cole Perfetti2 min

2nd

  • 3:55COLJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 17:50WPGMason Appleton · Slashingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

3rd

  • 6:32WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Holdingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 6:32COLJosh Manson · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalWPG goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Neal Pionk, OT 0:31 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.14V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.14E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.14A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.12E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.11M. Kaut · Missed · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kaut · Missed · xG 0.04L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kaut · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01A. Blidh · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCOL
2.64 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG56%44%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
33
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
1/1
6
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
26
25
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD202030.22410—23:05
44J. MorrisseyD011-130.21230—22:45
55M. ScheifeleC000-110.142003321:29
88N. SchmidtD000+110.06200—21:17
81K. ConnorL000-120.30210—20:26
5B. DillonD000+110.02260—19:12
22M. AppletonC022+130.34212018:43
17A. LowryC011+110.160205317:20
91C. PerfettiC112+130.28022016:56
2D. DeMeloD000000.02530—16:41
26B. WheelerR011+140.41000—16:27
80P. DuboisC011+120.101027315:26
54D. SambergD000000.02130—15:25
8S. MaenalanenR000-120.09210—13:52
36M. BarronC000-100.01100013:51
89S. GagnerC101010.16000009:53
19D. GustafssonC000010.030103307:42
71A. Jonsson-FjallbyL000000.00110—06:26
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)33303.9092.26-0.7460:31

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).