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New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals

Final/OTTV NBCSWA, MSGSN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Washington Capitals 5-4 in overtime, Luke Hughes scoring at 4:33. The Devils came back from three goals down. The Capitals led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Luke Hughes's goal at 4:33 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.9 to 3.6; shots on goal were NJD 34, WSH 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Luke Hughes (1 G, 1 A), 2. Erik Haula (2 G), 3. Craig Smith (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    L. Hughes1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    E. Haula2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    C. Smith1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NJDNJD1111721214534
WSHWSH381120704431

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:36
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    5:59
  3. WSH
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    10:18
  4. NJD
    slapxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    17:06

2nd period

  1. WSH
    N. Jensen (24), D. Strome (42)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    1:05
  2. NJD
    M. Wood(13)PPG
    T. Tatar (28), D. Mercer (29)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    18:36

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt (41), J. Hughes (55)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    3:17
  2. NJD
    slapxG 0.05win prob +34 pts
    4-4
    12:23

Overtime

  1. NJD
    wrap-aroundxG 0.10win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    4:33

Penalties

NJD 11 PIM·WSH 11 PIM

2nd

  • 11:36NJDTomas Tatar · Trippingdrawn by Joe Snively2 min
  • 14:20NJDCurtis Lazar · Broken stick2 min
  • 14:20WSHRasmus Sandin · Roughingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 14:20NJDCurtis Lazar · Fightingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin5 min
  • 14:20WSHRasmus Sandin · Fightingdrawn by Curtis Lazar5 min
  • 16:45WSHJohn Carlson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

OT

  • 3:45WSHRasmus Sandin · Hookingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 3:52NJDDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNJD goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Luke Hughes, OT 4:33 — NJD 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.35N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.27E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.24N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.19M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.19A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.16E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.16M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.16R. Sandin · Goal · xG 0.15E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.15J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.14A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.13T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Snively · Goal · xG 0.11J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.11M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.09C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.09C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.08M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.06C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.06C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.05A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.05N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.04A. Alexeyev · On goal · xG 0.03R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.00N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 3.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsWSH
3.95 G
All situations
4 G3.6
3.64 G
Even strength
4 G3.5
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD56%44%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.88 – 3.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsWSH
34
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/1
11
Penalty minutes
11
19
Hits
16
7
Blocked shots
19
5
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. HamiltonD101-130.26102—23:15
43L. HughesD112+120.27010—21:13
86J. HughesC022050.681002020:58
28D. SeversonD011000.00010—20:46
2B. SmithD000+100.00610—20:39
13N. HischierC011-130.261007719:53
71J. SiegenthalerD000000.00200—19:48
91D. MercerC011030.41110018:56
56E. HaulaL202+240.480004217:47
96T. MeierR000-230.42100—17:24
88K. BahlD000-220.09100—17:04
63J. BrattL011-120.22000—16:34
90T. TatarL011000.00102—16:13
17Y. SharangovichC011+230.560006714:27
14N. BastianR000-110.03100—13:11
70J. BoqvistC011+210.031005012:21
44M. WoodL101-120.23010—11:06
42C. LazarC000-100.002273310:17
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(W)202001.0002.36+2.3643:22
29M. Blackwood1174.6361.21-2.7921:05

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).