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Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV NBCSWA, MSG·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Washington Capitals 5-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Hughes's goal at 5:59 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 38, NJD 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.8 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (3 G), 2. Vitek Vanecek (37 saves, .974), 3. Dawson Mercer (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes3 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    V. Vanecek37 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Mercer2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH010013115138
NJDNJD1721329529

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.21win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    9:04

2nd period

  1. NJD
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    5:59
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.02win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    9:19

3rd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.23win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    9:51
  2. WSH
    slapxG 0.07
    1-4
    11:38
  3. NJD
    1-5
    14:47

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·NJD 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:02NJDMichael McLeod · Hookingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 7:42WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 11:37NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Holdingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min

2nd

  • 13:09WSHGarnet Hathaway · Interferencedrawn by Michael McLeod2 min

3rd

  • 4:41NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Hookingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 10:07NJDMiles Wood · Holdingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 15:00WSHSonny Milano · Hookingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 15:00WSHT.J. Oshie · Slashingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
  • 15:00NJDFabian Zetterlund · Embellishmentdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalWSH goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Hughes, 2nd 5:59 — NJD 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.35J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.23N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.21N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.15M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.12M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.11F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.10J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.09D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.08J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.06E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.06J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.05R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.04D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.00M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD5 G · 2.2 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNJD
3.81 G
All situations
5 G2.2
2.20 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
1.31 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH76%24%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.69 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNJD
38
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
11
Hits
11
4
Blocked shots
26
5
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD101-360.28020—24:07
8A. OvechkinL000-281.19302—21:34
42M. FehérváryD000010.11110—20:52
56E. GustafssonD000-310.03000—19:26
3N. JensenD000010.03000—18:12
73C. ShearyL000-110.09000—18:00
17D. StromeC011-150.460105616:59
77T. OshieR000010.27302—16:55
90M. JohanssonL011-210.11000—16:49
92E. KuznetsovC000010.150006216:38
20L. EllerC000-320.080006216:15
57T. van RiemsdykD000-110.02000—16:05
15S. MilanoL000040.42002—14:57
52M. IrwinD000-110.01100—13:19
39A. ManthaR000-320.16000—12:56
26N. DowdC000010.270003311:38
21G. HathawayR000010.08302—10:36
59A. ProtasL000000.00000—10:03
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(L)29245.8282.18-2.8259:17

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).