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Canadiens at Islanders
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
2
New York Islanders
▸4
FinalTV MSGSN, SN1·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 10:20 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were MTL 19, NYI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.7 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Brock Nelson (2 G), 2. Anders Lee (1 G), 3. Hudson Fasching (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Nelson2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    H. Fasching1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL181605219
NYINYI21011817435

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(35)
    K. Palmieri (17), A. Pelech (15)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:26
  2. MTL
    R. Pitlick(6)
    J. Evans (16)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    17:38
  3. NYI
    H. Fasching(10)
    Z. Parise (13), J. Pageau (27)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    18:57

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(36)
    N. Dobson (35), S. Mayfield (18)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    10:20
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki(25)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    16:38

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(28)PPG
    S. Aho (18), N. Dobson (36)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    16:00

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 2:58MTLJoel Edmundson · Interferencedrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 15:18MTLBrendan Gallagher · Roughingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 15:18MTLBrendan Gallagher · Kneeingdrawn by Hudson Fasching2 min
  • 15:18NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 16:55NYIAnders Lee · High stickingdrawn by Justin Barron2 min

3rd

  • 15:15MTLMike Hoffman · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalMTL goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Brock Nelson, 2nd 10:20 — NYI 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.35H. Fasching · Goal · xG 0.30Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.17M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.17J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.16K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.14B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.14J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.13B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.12N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.10B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.10H. Fasching · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.09B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.06B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI4 G · 3.7 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsNYI
1.62 G
All situations
4 G3.7
1.21 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL21%79%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 3.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsNYI
19
Shots on goal
35
32%
Faceoffs
68%
0/1
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
17
19
Blocked shots
19
14
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000030.12140—28:41
26J. KovacevicD000+100.04210—21:19
40J. ArmiaR000020.27110—20:33
44J. EdmundsonD000-200.00002—20:23
14N. SuzukiC101010.140203220:08
52J. BarronD000000.00120—18:47
32R. PitlickC101+110.4000010017:59
68M. HoffmanC000-120.06002016:15
27J. DrouinL000000.002102015:35
71J. EvansC011+100.001301114:17
11B. GallagherR000+120.060045014:05
25D. GurianovR000020.16120—14:05
6C. WidemanD000-200.00200—14:02
57S. FarrellC000030.23000013:42
82F. AllardD000+110.06000—13:35
55M. PezzettaL000-220.02610—11:32
67C. TierneyC000-200.000105011:23
38J. TeasdaleL000-200.03210—10:18
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)35314.8863.31-0.6958:36

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).