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Islanders at Canadiens
NHL

New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens

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New York Islanders
3
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
Final/OTTV MSGSN, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the New York Islanders 4-3 in overtime, Mike Matheson scoring at 4:38. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Matheson's goal at 4:38 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYI 30, MTL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.8 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Matheson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Rafael Harvey-Pinard (1 A), 3. Josh Anderson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    M. Matheson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    R. Harvey-Pinard1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Anderson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI171101805330
MTLMTL114052913431

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(17)
    R. Harvey-Pinard (2), J. Anderson (6)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:57
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson(21)
    N. Dobson (20), S. Aho (10)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:01

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(34)PPG
    N. Dobson (21), B. Nelson (30)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    19:55

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Barron(1)
    E. Dadonov (10), M. Hoffman (10)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    4:02
  2. NYI
    M. Martin(6)
    A. Romanov (15), S. Mayfield (9)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +34 pts
    3-2
    10:54
  3. MTL
    K. Dach(12)
    M. Matheson (8), M. Hoffman (11)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +42 pts
    3-3
    16:44

Overtime

  1. MTL
    M. Matheson(2)
    M. Hoffman (12)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    4:38

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:45NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Hookingdrawn by Alex Belzile2 min

2nd

  • 5:02NYISebastian Aho · Holdingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta2 min
  • 19:13MTLJordan Harris · Holdingdrawn by Hudson Fasching2 min

OT

  • 2:29MTLMike Hoffman · Slashingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNYI goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Mike Matheson, OT 4:38 — MTL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.38E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.24R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.22J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.20N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.19E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.18J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.15R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.14M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.12M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.10J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.08K. Dach · Goal · xG 0.08M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.07J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.06R. Harvey-Pinard · Missed · xG 0.06J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.05J. Barron · Goal · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.04A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01A. Belzile · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.00M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 3.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsMTL
2.53 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.62 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI37%63%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsMTL
30
Shots on goal
31
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
21
13
Blocked shots
22
13
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000-230.06210—24:27
3A. PelechD000-200.00010—24:17
14B. HorvatC101-150.780004122:32
13M. BarzalC000-230.25100022:01
29B. NelsonC112050.490005321:28
24S. MayfieldD011+110.01250—21:08
8N. DobsonD022-120.41100—20:11
28A. RomanovD011+110.02310—19:20
21K. PalmieriC000000.15110017:17
12J. BaileyR000-220.03010—17:01
27A. LeeL000+110.0910010016:32
25S. AhoD011010.00002—16:16
53C. CizikasC000+100.002006715:35
11Z. PariseL000-210.04010—13:38
44J. PageauC000-210.021026712:56
17M. MartinL101+130.07000—09:32
10S. HolmstromR000-110.04010—09:20
20H. FaschingR000+100.00110—09:03
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(O)31274.8713.25-0.7564:07

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).