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Flyers at Islanders
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
0
New York Islanders
▸4
FinalTV NBCSP, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 7:50 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals were close — PHI 1.9, NYI 2.0; shots on goal were PHI 27, NYI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.4 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Bo Horvat (2 A), 3. Noah Dobson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin27 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Horvat2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    N. Dobson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0150408027
NYINYI1821013421

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    S. Mayfield(6)
    S. Holmstrom (2), B. Horvat (30)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:19

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(34)
    N. Dobson (32)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    7:50
  2. NYI
    S. Bolduc(2)
    B. Horvat (31), S. Holmstrom (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    15:06

3rd period

  1. NYI
    H. Fasching(8)
    J. Pageau (26), N. Dobson (33)
    wristxG 0.08
    0-4
    18:21

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 10:11PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Hookingdrawn by Hudson Fasching2 min

3rd

  • 4:25NYIKyle Palmieri · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 9:08PHIBrendan Lemieux · Hookingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 14:12NYINoah Dobson · High stickingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPHI goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Brock Nelson, 2nd 7:50 — NYI 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.12C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.12K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.10P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.08H. Fasching · Goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.08C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bolduc · Goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · Goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI4 G · 2.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYI
1.90 G
All situations
4 G2.0
1.50 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI49%51%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYI
27
Shots on goal
21
34%
Faceoffs
66%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
17
20
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
7
1
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-200.00020—23:00
6T. SanheimD000-230.02120—22:33
55R. RistolainenD000-240.09422—20:13
11T. KonecnyR000000.00010—19:59
48M. FrostC000020.151102519:02
45C. YorkD000-220.20100—18:57
13K. HayesR000-120.280104718:27
74O. TippettR000-240.56100—17:48
86J. FarabeeL000000.01130—17:23
61J. BraunD000010.01120—16:37
49N. CatesL000-100.020102515:45
24N. SeelerD000000.02040—15:36
21S. LaughtonC000-220.070103313:04
25J. van RiemsdykL000-310.14100—11:52
57W. AllisonR000-230.26200—11:44
58T. LaczynskiC000-120.041003311:34
44N. DeslauriersL000000.00300—11:19
22B. LemieuxL000010.03202—11:07
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)18153.8331.61-1.3940:00
32F. Sandstrom321.6670.36-0.6420:00

Season series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).