New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 8:18 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were NYI 30, PHI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (1 G), 2. Kyle Palmieri (1 G), 3. Semyon Varlamov (25 saves, .962).
Three stars
- ★M. Barzal1 G

- ★★K. Palmieri1 G

- ★★★S. Varlamov25 saves, .962

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-017:07
2nd period
2-08:18
2-110:39
Penalties
1st
- 1:14
Kevin Hayes · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 15:28
Scott Laughton · Interferencedrawn by Zach Parise2 min
2nd
- 1:13
Sebastian Aho · Holdingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
- 12:07
Kevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
3rd
- 7:55
Kyle Palmieri · Slashingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 2nd 8:18 — 65% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.92 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.8
- 2.61 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.5
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.87 – 1.81
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 55%
- Faceoffs
- 45%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 27
- Hits
- 32
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 6
- Giveaways
- 11
- 4
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















