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Penguins at Red Wings
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV SN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sidney Crosby's goal at 19:57 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 60% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.2 to 1.6; shots on goal were PIT 28, DET 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Ville Husso stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (2 G, 1 A), 2. Danton Heinen (1 G), 3. Alex Nylander (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    D. Heinen1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    A. Nylander1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT27110211528
DETDET071805120

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:25
  2. PIT
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    19:57

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.35win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    11:16
  2. DET
    A. Copp (33), L. Raymond (28)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    11:58

3rd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(33)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    3:01
  2. PIT
    pokexG 0.06
    5-1
    13:00

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 14:46DETRobert Hagg · Hookingdrawn by Alex Nylander2 min
  • 17:46PITAlex Nylander · Holdingdrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min

2nd

  • 12:53DETJoseph Veleno · Trippingdrawn by Alex Nylander2 min

3rd

  • 2:21DETRobert Hagg · Holdingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
  • 4:34PITBryan Rust · Interferencedrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 5:08DETAlex Chiasson · Interferencedrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
  • 13:40PITJan Rutta · Boardingdrawn by Matt Luff2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalPIT goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Sidney Crosby, 1st 19:57 — PIT 60% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.14D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.12P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.11B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.11D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.10D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.10D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.06D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.04J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.04J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.03J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.03M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.02J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.01M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 1.6 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsDET
2.25 G
All situations
1 G1.6
1.84 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT63%37%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 1.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsDET
28
Shots on goal
20
35%
Faceoffs
65%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
8
Hits
20
17
Blocked shots
16
2
Giveaways
3
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011010.01010—23:54
26J. PetryD000+200.00030—22:52
8B. DumoulinD000+120.04010—21:55
59J. GuentzelC011+120.26200019:28
87S. CrosbyC213+240.180003519:13
73P. JosephD000+100.00000—17:10
17B. RustR000+110.37022—16:26
71E. MalkinC101030.150101716:24
64M. GranlundC011+100.00130016:20
52M. FriedmanD000+140.03100—15:38
25R. PoehlingC000020.060101715:26
67R. RakellR000000.00110—14:55
44J. RuttaD000+110.02002—14:24
77J. CarterC011+120.101005014:21
16J. ZuckerL011010.13010—13:07
15J. ArchibaldR000+120.16010—11:37
19A. NylanderL101+120.32202—11:33
43D. HeinenL101+110.35020—09:48
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)20191.9501.56+0.5659:29

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).