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Red Wings at Penguins
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸5
Pittsburgh Penguins
4
Final/OTTV ATTSN-PT, BSDET·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-4 in overtime, Jake Walman scoring at 2:13. The Red Wings came back from 4 goals down. The Penguins led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Walman's goal at 2:13 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.2 to 3.1; shots on goal were DET 46, PIT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Magnus Hellberg stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 41 of 46 (.891), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Walman (1 G), 2. Jason Zucker (2 G), 3. David Perron (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Walman1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Zucker2 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Perron1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET01421621412546
PITPIT412090802431

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    D. O'Connor(1)
    K. Kapanen (9), T. Blueger (6)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:36
  2. PIT
    J. Carter(5)PPG
    K. Kapanen (10), B. Rust (13)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    10:15
  3. PIT
    J. Zucker(7)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    14:15
  4. PIT
    J. Zucker(8)PPG
    J. Carter (11), B. Rust (14)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    19:27

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(13)PPG
    L. Raymond (11), F. Hronek (19)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    7:17
  2. DET
    J. Veleno(5)
    B. Chiarot (7), E. Soderblom (2)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    14:32

3rd period

  1. DET
    J. Berggren(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    3-4
    15:00
  2. DET
    D. Perron(12)PPG
    M. Rasmussen (10), L. Raymond (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +33 pts
    4-4
    16:52

Overtime

  1. DET
    J. Walman(2)
    A. Copp (16)
    tip-inxG 0.23win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    2:13

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:31PITPierre-Olivier Joseph · High stickingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 8:48DETDavid Perron · Hookingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
  • 18:17DETDavid Perron · Interferencedrawn by Mark Friedman2 min

2nd

  • 6:03PITRickard Rakell · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

3rd

  • 9:52PITJake Guentzel · Hookingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 16:41PITserved by D. Heinen · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalDET goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Jake Walman, OT 2:13 — DET 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.23S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.18J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.17T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.15J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.14J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.13J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.13J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.13J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.13R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.12J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.12D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.10J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.10P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.10S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.09B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.09B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.08J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.07D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.04D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.01B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT4 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsPIT
4.25 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.83 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
1.42 G
Power play
2 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET65%35%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.08 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsPIT
46
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/4
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
20
5
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011-130.11300—23:48
53M. SeiderD000+220.18410—23:46
8B. ChiarotD011+220.07310—22:19
96J. WalmanD101030.32140—20:44
71D. LarkinC101050.8100010020:27
57D. PerronL101040.38204—19:43
27M. RasmussenC011+160.614306319:10
81D. KubalikL000030.19200—17:45
23L. RaymondL022000.13200—16:23
70O. SundqvistC000030.17110016:12
24P. SuterC000020.072005315:56
18A. CoppC011+120.290003315:20
82J. OesterleD000-100.00110—13:56
73A. ErneL000020.03400—13:14
90J. VelenoC101050.640103812:50
2O. MaattaD000-120.03100—12:34
52J. BerggrenR101020.1700010011:02
85E. SoderblomL011000.00020—09:29
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45M. Hellberg(W)191901.0001.88+1.8842:13
35V. Husso1284.6671.24-2.7619:24

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).