Skip to content

Anaheim Ducks at Utah Mammoth

Final/OTTV BSAZX, BSW·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-4 in overtime, Barrett Hayton scoring at 4:00. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Coyotes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matias Maccelli's goal at 19:25 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 3% to 51%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were ANA 29, ARI 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Olle Eriksson Ek stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 1.6 goals below expected; Ivan Prosvetov stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Barrett Hayton (1 G), 2. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Henrique (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    B. Hayton1 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    A. Henrique2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA19192803429
ARIARI1102811813539

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    J. Moser (23), J. McBain (13)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:12
  2. ANA
    R. Strome (23), C. Fowler (35)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    14:21

2nd period

  1. ARI
    L. Crouse(24)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    6:33
  2. ARI
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    9:06
  3. ANA
    M. Jones (10), D. Grant (11)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    12:01

3rd period

  1. ANA
    R. Strome (24), T. Zegras (39)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    5:46
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +46 pts
    4-3
    18:06
  3. ARI
    slapxG 0.13win prob +49 pts
    4-4
    19:25

Overtime

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    4:00

Penalties

ANA 15 PIM·ARI 15 PIM

1st

  • 7:36ARIJack McBain · Trippingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
  • 12:19ARIVictor Soderstrom · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Nesterenko2 min
  • 17:31ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Slashingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 19:52ARIMilos Kelemen · Hookingdrawn by Max Jones2 min

2nd

  • 5:24ANASimon Benoit · Holdingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 12:51ARIConnor Mackey · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Strome5 min
  • 12:51ANARyan Strome · Fightingdrawn by Connor Mackey5 min

3rd

  • 5:40ARILawson Crouse · Hookingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 7:20ANADerek Grant · Roughingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min
  • 7:20ARIPatrik Nemeth · Roughingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
  • 7:20ANASam Carrick · Roughingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min
  • 10:02ANARyan Strome · Cross checkingdrawn by Connor Mackey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalANA goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Matias Maccelli, 3rd 19:25 — ARI 3% → 51%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.25C. Fischer · Goal · xG 0.20N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.20B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.16N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.16L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.15L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.14C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.14M. Maccelli · Goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.12C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.11C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.10C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.09T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.09M. Kelemen · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.07L. Dauphin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.06J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05M. Kelemen · Missed · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.05B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.05P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.04V. Soderstrom · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.03T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.03J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kelemen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01V. Soderstrom · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01L. Dauphin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI5 G · 3.4 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsARI
2.84 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.33 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA40%60%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsARI
29
Shots on goal
39
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
15
15
Hits
24
14
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
17
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD011-220.11040—38:54
22K. ShattenkirkD000020.27022—23:50
13S. BenoitD000-220.11302—19:56
14A. HenriqueC202040.600005018:06
28N. BeaulieuD000+100.00010—17:59
16R. StromeC123020.210078617:29
11T. ZegrasC011-100.001002917:14
45C. WhiteD000+110.01120—17:05
37M. McTavishC000000.020103316:07
21I. LundestromC000010.212205515:58
77F. VatranoR000-130.03110—15:31
62N. NesterenkoC000-140.56200014:01
38D. GrantC022+200.000023313:44
49M. JonesL112+140.42200—13:22
33J. SilfverbergR000020.10000—13:20
7J. MegnaC000-110.020106711:11
44M. ComtoisL000000.10100—11:10
39S. CarrickC000010.092022509:55
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31O. Eriksson Ek(O)39345.8723.36-1.6463:59

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).