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Anaheim Ducks at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZX, BSSC·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Utah Mammoth 5-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Troy Terry's goal at 3:34 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.9 to 3.3; shots on goal were ANA 43, ARI 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Connor Ingram stopped 38 of 42 (.905), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Fowler (2 G, 1 A), 2. Troy Terry (1 G, 2 A), 3. Barrett Hayton (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Fowler2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Terry1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    B. Hayton1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA116216211543
ARIARI012011216239

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    slapxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    17:38

2nd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    3:34
  2. ANA
    C. Fowler(6)PPG
    T. Terry (28), T. Zegras (24)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    3-0
    4:19

3rd period

  1. ANA
    slapxG 0.03win prob +2 pts
    4-0
    3:02
  2. ARI
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    10:44
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +1 pts
    4-2
    14:34
  4. ANA
    wristxG 0.95win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    16:39

Penalties

ANA 18 PIM·ARI 27 PIM

1st

  • 9:05ARIJoshua Brown · Roughingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 15:17ANARyan Strome · Cross checkingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

2nd

  • 3:34ARIJuuso Välimäki · Slashingdrawn by Max Jones5 min
  • 3:34ARIJuuso Välimäki · Game misconduct10 min
  • 14:04ANAJayson Megna · Hookingdrawn by Nick Ritchie2 min

3rd

  • 13:23ANATrevor Zegras · Slashingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 17:10ARIJoshua Brown · Misconductdrawn by Maxime Comtois10 min
  • 17:10ANAMaxime Comtois · Misconductdrawn by Joshua Brown10 min
  • 19:17ANAMason McTavish · Holdingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalANA goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Troy Terry, 2nd 3:34 — ANA 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.24J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.21N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.16N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.14T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.13M. Kelemen · On goal · xG 0.13N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.11C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.10N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.09N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.07C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.07J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.07M. Kelemen · Missed · xG 0.07D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.07J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.06J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.06J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.06B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.05C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.05C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI2 G · 3.3 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsARI
4.94 G
All situations
2 G3.3
2.43 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.91 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA48%52%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.19 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsARI
43
Shots on goal
39
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
1/4
18
Penalty minutes
27
17
Hits
18
19
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
5
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD213+430.12010—21:43
22K. ShattenkirkD011+140.03240—20:03
13S. BenoitD000-130.02620—20:02
29D. KulikovD000+210.02270—19:54
14A. HenriqueC101+141.260203018:48
19T. TerryR123+250.81000—17:59
37M. McTavishC000+130.350025317:56
33J. SilfverbergR011+110.80000—17:52
44M. ComtoisL000000.123010—16:24
45C. WhiteD000020.11100—16:10
5U. VaakanainenD000040.06100—15:25
16R. StromeC000+100.00002015:14
77F. VatranoR112+140.27010—15:14
11T. ZegrasC011+130.370027014:31
49M. JonesL000+100.01100—12:49
21I. LundestromC000+130.390105011:38
7J. MegnaC011000.001027811:25
39S. CarrickC000030.210102511:04
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(W)39372.9493.35+1.3559:55

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).