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Avalanche at Sharks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
San Jose Sharks
2
FinalTV ALT, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 6-2. The Sharks scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 7:19 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were COL 31, SJS 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.7 goals saved above expected; James Reimer stopped 10 of 12 (.833), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (3 G, 1 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 3 A), 3. Matt Nieto (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Nieto2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL1741519631
SJSSJS161809223

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    E. Karlsson(23)
    K. Labanc (18), J. Peterson (4)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:43
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(50)
    N. MacKinnon (65), S. Girard (28)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:45

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(51)
    E. Rodrigues (21), N. MacKinnon (66)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    2:32
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(37)
    S. Girard (29), M. Rantanen (46)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    7:19
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(52)
    N. MacKinnon (67), D. Toews (37)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    8:06
  4. SJS
    S. Lorentz(9)
    E. Karlsson (75), J. MacDonald (7)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    4-2
    8:41
  5. COL
    B. Meyers(2)
    M. Nieto (11)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +9 pts
    5-2
    15:08

3rd period

  1. COL
    B. Meyers(3)
    A. Newhook (15), M. Nieto (12)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +2 pts
    6-2
    3:12

Penalties

COL 2 PIM·SJS 2 PIM

2nd

  • 2:54SJSTomas Hertl · Trippingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 9:08COLLars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCOL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 2nd 7:19 — COL 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.30L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.20L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.18E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.13S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.13N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.12E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.11J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.10L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.09S. Lorentz · Goal · xG 0.09K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.09F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.08F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.07J. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.06J. Peterson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Peterson · Missed · xG 0.06F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.06N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.06N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.05M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bordeleau · Missed · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.04H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.03H. Thrun · Missed · xG 0.03H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.03S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.03H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Simek · Missed · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.02K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01H. Thrun · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01
SJS2 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSJS
3.36 G
All situations
2 G2.7
3.26 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL60%40%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.21 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSJS
31
Shots on goal
23
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
16
Hits
30
18
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4B. ByramD000-100.07220—23:25
7D. ToewsD011+510.03010—22:15
49S. GirardD022+510.12030—21:32
3J. JohnsonD000+110.01110—20:15
37J. CompherL000-220.160006418:45
29N. MacKinnonC134+430.291303518:40
13V. NichushkinR000-220.04100—18:27
9E. RodriguesC011+400.00000018:18
96M. RantanenR314+560.642005017:51
6E. JohnsonD000-130.10320—16:38
81D. MalginC000-120.14110014:38
56K. MacDermidL000-100.00210—13:58
25L. O'ConnorR000010.56010—13:21
20L. EllerC000000.040024412:55
11A. CoglianoC000010.04210012:22
83M. NietoL022+140.41010—12:11
18A. NewhookC011+110.140106311:58
59B. MeyersC202+230.49100010:31
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)23212.9132.67+0.6760:00

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).