Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 4-3 in overtime, Nathan MacKinnon scoring at 3:13. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 3:13 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.1 to 3.3; shots on goal were COL 42, SJS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 38 of 42 (.905). Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 2. Kaapo Kahkonen (38 saves, .905), 3. Erik Karlsson (1 A).
Three stars
- ★N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A

- ★★K. Kahkonen38 saves, .905

- ★★★E. Karlsson1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-04:29
2-06:24
2nd period
2-112:55
3-117:54
3rd period
3-25:50
3-37:11
Overtime
4-33:13
Penalties
2nd
- 2:54
Jacob MacDonald · Trippingdrawn by Ben Meyers2 min
- 14:39
Tomas Hertl · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
3rd
- 1:20
Nico Sturm · Holdingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
- 4:59
Kurtis MacDermid · Hookingdrawn by Danil Gushchin2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, OT 3:13 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.14 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.3
- 3.64 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.9
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.10 – 3.24
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 42
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 12
- Hits
- 29
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 22
- 10
- Giveaways
- 7
- 8
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















