Skip to content
Flyers at Stars
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
1
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV NBCSP, BSSW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joe Pavelski's goal at 1:04 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 72% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were PHI 25, DAL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.4 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joe Pavelski (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jason Robertson (2 G), 3. Colin Miller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Pavelski1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson2 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    C. Miller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0711107125
DALDAL1831606430

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(44)PPG
    T. Seguin (27), J. Pavelski (48)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    19:58

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(26)PPG
    J. Benn (42), M. Heiskanen (58)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    1:04
  2. DAL
    C. Miller(6)
    W. Johnston (16), E. Dadonov (24)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    8:53
  3. DAL
    J. Robertson(45)
    J. Pavelski (49)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    10:55
  4. PHI
    K. Hayes(18)
    O. Tippett (20), R. Ristolainen (16)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    13:16

Penalties

PHI 8 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:41DALMiro Heiskanen · Cross checkingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min
  • 13:20DALRyan Suter · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Laczynski2 min
  • 18:51PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Trippingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min

2nd

  • 0:50PHIserved by J. van Riemsdyk · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 9:28PHIJames van Riemsdyk · Roughingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 9:28PHIJames van Riemsdyk · Roughingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 9:28DALLuke Glendening · Interferencedrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 9:28DALLuke Glendening · Roughingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalPHI goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Joe Pavelski, 2nd 1:04 — DAL 72% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.27J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.22J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.21J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.18M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.16J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.13E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.10T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.10F. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.09C. Miller · Goal · xG 0.08J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.08T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.08L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.07R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.07L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.06L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.06T. Dellandrea · Missed · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.05F. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03T. Dellandrea · Missed · xG 0.03T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.02W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01F. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.00C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsDAL
2.11 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.81 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI40%60%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsDAL
25
Shots on goal
30
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
2/2
8
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
18
20
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
12
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45C. YorkD000010.01100—22:07
9I. ProvorovD000-210.01020—21:17
55R. RistolainenD011010.06512—20:51
74O. TippettR011+130.20110—20:44
6T. SanheimD000010.03040—19:48
11T. KonecnyR000020.3020010019:44
49N. CatesL000+120.500104519:26
47R. AttardD000010.19000—18:59
13K. HayesR101020.250005718:12
21S. LaughtonC000010.041005317:27
48M. FrostC000-110.070103816:02
86J. FarabeeL000-100.00000—15:37
24N. SeelerD000010.04170—15:12
57W. AllisonR000020.15230—15:07
25J. van RiemsdykL000040.16004—14:25
44N. DeslauriersL000-110.02400—08:46
22B. LemieuxL000-110.01400—08:06
58T. LaczynskiC000-100.0100010006:51
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)30264.8672.57-1.4360:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).