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Stars at Flyers
NHL

Dallas Stars at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸5
Philadelphia Flyers
1
FinalTV NHLN, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Esa Lindell's goal at 18:24 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were DAL 31, PHI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Felix Sandstrom stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Esa Lindell (1 G, 2 A), 2. Joe Pavelski (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jake Oettinger (37 saves, .974).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    E. Lindell1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Pavelski1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger37 saves, .974

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL21219210531
PHIPHI012112014138

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    M. Blümel(1)
    T. Seguin (8), E. Lindell (4)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:36
  2. DAL
    E. Lindell(2)
    J. Robertson (13), J. Pavelski (8)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    18:24

2nd period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(6)
    K. Hayes (11), O. Tippett (3)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    0:54
  2. DAL
    J. Pavelski(8)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (8), J. Benn (8)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    9:06

3rd period

  1. DAL
    L. Glendening(2)SHG
    T. Dellandrea (6), E. Lindell (5)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    0:57
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(10)PPG
    J. Pavelski (9), R. Hintz (13)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    10:59

Penalties

DAL 12 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:41PHITravis Konecny · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min

2nd

  • 1:01DALTyler Seguin · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 7:36PHIKieffer Bellows · Slashingdrawn by Nils Lundkvist2 min
  • 12:59DALJoel Kiviranta · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min

3rd

  • 0:47DALRyan Suter · Holdingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 5:26DALTyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 9:04PHITravis Sanheim · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 16:54DALColin Miller · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:55DALJoel Kiviranta · Trippingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalDAL goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Esa Lindell, 1st 18:24 — DAL 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.27T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.16N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.16Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.14T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.13S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.12T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.12K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.11T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.10O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.10N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.10S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.09I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.06K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.06Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.06J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.06S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.06L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01
PHI1 G · 2.9 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsPHI
3.35 G
All situations
1 G2.9
2.22 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
1.02 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL55%45%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.22 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsPHI
31
Shots on goal
38
74%
Faceoffs
26%
2/3
Power play
0/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
35
19
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000000.01312—22:17
4M. HeiskanenD011020.02020—21:58
23E. LindellD123+210.01220—20:08
2J. HakanpääD000+210.04330—19:53
5N. LundkvistD000030.33110—19:39
11L. GlendeningC101+120.185308316:56
91T. SeguinC011010.120147516:49
10T. DellandreaC011+100.0000010016:16
24R. HintzC011+140.412105715:17
6C. MillerD000030.05202—14:56
21J. RobertsonL112+150.49200—14:15
27M. MarchmentL000020.42000—14:02
16J. PavelskiC123030.401107513:58
53W. JohnstonC000020.27110013:45
14J. BennL011010.071007513:39
25J. KivirantaL000000.24314—12:29
12R. FaksaC000000.001107511:07
22M. BlümelR101+110.19010—10:36
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)38371.9742.95+1.9560:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).