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Philadelphia Flyers at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Pitlick's goal at 5:04 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were PHI 34, STL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Jordan Binnington stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Binnington (32 saves, .941), 2. Justin Faulk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Kyrou (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Binnington32 saves, .941
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Faulk1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0709218234
STLSTL110212110432

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    B. Saad (18)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:53

2nd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    5:04
  2. STL
    S. Blais (16), N. Leddy (20)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    8:26

3rd period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +4 pts
    1-3
    5:51
  2. PHI
    C. York (17)
    backhandxG 0.33win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    11:43
  3. STL
    J. Faulk (35), B. Schenn (42)
    wristxG 0.50win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:28

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:11STLJakub Vrana · High stickingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 10:23PHICam York · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min

2nd

  • 6:22PHINick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
  • 9:18STLLogan Brown · High stickingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 17:14STLJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min

3rd

  • 13:28PHIIvan Provorov · Interferencedrawn by Sammy Blais2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalPHI goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Pitlick, 2nd 5:04 — STL 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Toropchenko · Goal · xG 0.50J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.34T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.25J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.18J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.18J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.13A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.13J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.13J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.11B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.10T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.09B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.08J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.08K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.08B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.08T. Pitlick · Goal · xG 0.08S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.07T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.06N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.06J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.06J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.05L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.04L. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.03C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.02J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01
STL4 G · 3.9 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsSTL
2.72 G
All situations
3 G3.9
2.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI36%64%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 3.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsSTL
34
Shots on goal
32
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
11
14
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
5
12
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
11T. KonecnyR000-110.12110—21:03
77T. DeAngeloD000-130.42100—20:39
74O. TippettR000-130.25000—19:35
45C. YorkD011-220.04102—19:04
86J. FarabeeL000030.32000—18:44
6T. SanheimD000010.10010—18:04
21S. LaughtonC011+120.050003017:55
9I. ProvorovD000-120.09102—17:41
48M. FrostC101010.481106517:24
49N. CatesL000-120.200004717:08
55R. RistolainenD000030.06220—16:49
47R. AttardD000040.12320—14:30
13K. HayesR000-110.130002913:59
24N. SeelerD011-120.14032—13:57
25J. van RiemsdykL101-120.16000—13:54
57W. AllisonR000-120.06420—12:55
22B. LemieuxL000-100.00420—11:09
44N. DeslauriersL000000.02300—10:39
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(L)31283.9033.43+0.4358:51

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).