St. Louis Blues at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the St. Louis Blues 5-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wade Allison's goal at 10:11 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were STL 28, PHI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.8 goals below expected; Felix Sandstrom stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Felix Sandstrom (27 saves, .964), 2. Noah Cates (1 G, 1 A), 3. Travis Konecny (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★F. Sandstrom27 saves, .964

- ★★N. Cates1 G, 1 A

- ★★★T. Konecny1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals2nd period
0-110:11
0-216:37
0-319:57
3rd period
1-35:22
1-46:44
1-519:21
Penalties
1st
- 3:39
Brayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Nick Seeler5 min
- 3:39
Nick Seeler · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
- 4:30
Robert Bortuzzo · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
- 4:30
Zack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo5 min
2nd
- 5:35
Zack MacEwen · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
- 18:37
Vladimir Tarasenko · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
- 19:27
Owen Tippett · Trippingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Wade Allison, 2nd 10:11 — 53% → 72%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.71 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.2
- 1.91 G
- Even strength
- 5 G2.2
- 0.80 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.25
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 60%
- Faceoffs
- 40%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 14
- 34
- Hits
- 39
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 14
- Giveaways
- 14
- 4
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
1@
5this game
2@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
