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St. Louis Blues at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, BSMW·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the St. Louis Blues 5-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wade Allison's goal at 10:11 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were STL 28, PHI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.8 goals below expected; Felix Sandstrom stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Felix Sandstrom (27 saves, .964), 2. Noah Cates (1 G, 1 A), 3. Travis Konecny (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    F. Sandstrom27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    PHI
    N. Cates1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0907112128
PHIPHI0183928535

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    deflectedxG 0.20win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    10:11
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    16:37
  3. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.24win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    19:57

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    5:22
  2. PHI
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    6:44
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.05
    1-5
    19:21

Penalties

STL 12 PIM·PHI 14 PIM

1st

  • 3:39STLBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Nick Seeler5 min
  • 3:39PHINick Seeler · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
  • 4:30STLRobert Bortuzzo · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
  • 4:30PHIZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo5 min

2nd

  • 5:35PHIZack MacEwen · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 18:37STLVladimir Tarasenko · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 19:27PHIOwen Tippett · Trippingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalSTL goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Wade Allison, 2nd 10:11 — PHI 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Cates · Goal · xG 0.24W. Allison · Goal · xG 0.20T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.18W. Allison · Missed · xG 0.15L. Sedlak · Goal · xG 0.13L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.13I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.11W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.08O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.08T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.06J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.06T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.05I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.05T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.04N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.00K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 2.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsPHI
2.71 G
All situations
5 G2.2
1.91 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL58%42%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsPHI
28
Shots on goal
35
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/2
Power play
0/1
12
Penalty minutes
14
34
Hits
39
9
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000-210.03420—26:34
72J. FaulkD000010.09210—25:08
4N. LeddyD011-220.11200—21:03
47T. KrugD000-110.03110—20:57
18R. ThomasC000-210.330005819:30
89P. BuchnevichL000-210.08000—19:29
91V. TarasenkoR000-130.35202—19:20
20B. SaadL000000.15000—19:15
25J. KyrouR000-240.22110—18:12
10B. SchennC000-130.421054117:57
90R. O'ReillyC101050.561108016:01
77N. MikkolaD000-200.02320—14:51
49I. BarbashevL011020.26100—14:38
52N. AcciariC000-110.017108611:42
13A. ToropchenkoR000-100.00300—09:52
41R. BortuzzoD000-110.01305—09:08
63J. NeighboursL000-100.00100—08:28
22L. BrownC000020.05200005:55
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(L)35305.8572.25-2.7560:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).