Skip to content
Blue Jackets at Maple Leafs
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
FinalTV BSOH, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Kerfoot's goal at 7:25 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 5.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were CBJ 26, TOR 50. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 46 of 49 (.939), 2.5 goals saved above expected; Joseph Woll stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Zachary Aston-Reese (2 G), 2. Jet Greaves (46 saves, .939), 3. David Kampf (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    Z. Aston-Reese2 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    J. Greaves46 saves, .939
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    D. Kampf1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ1501219226
TORTOR116117217450

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    Z. Aston-Reese(9)
    J. Holl (16), S. Lafferty (14)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:10
  2. CBJ
    J. Roslovic(11)
    K. Johnson (24), L. Foudy (7)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    12:22

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Kerfoot(10)
    N. Abruzzese (2), D. Kampf (19)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    7:25

3rd period

  1. TOR
    Z. Aston-Reese(10)
    J. McCabe (21), S. Lafferty (15)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    8:11
  2. CBJ
    E. Robinson(12)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    12:03
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(38)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.26win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    18:57

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:03CBJSean Kuraly · Holdingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 14:33TORJake McCabe · High stickingdrawn by Josh Dunne2 min

2nd

  • 8:13CBJBoone Jenner · Holdingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min
  • 17:17TORAlexander Kerfoot · Cross checkingdrawn by Hunter McKown2 min

3rd

  • 13:42CBJGavin Bayreuther · High stickingdrawn by Sam Lafferty2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalCBJ goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Alexander Kerfoot, 2nd 7:25 — TOR 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.26J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.24A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.21M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.21W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.20J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.20M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.20A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.20J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.19A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.19A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.17W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.16J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.14J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.14A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.13J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.11T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.11M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kerfoot · Goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Aston-Reese · Goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.07M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.06J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.06N. Abruzzese · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.06M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.05S. Lafferty · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Aston-Reese · Goal · xG 0.05M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.05J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.04M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03N. Abruzzese · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.01J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 5.7 xG · 69 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTOR
2.32 G
All situations
3 G5.7
1.62 G
Even strength
3 G3.5
0.60 G
Power play
0 G1.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ11%89%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 5.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTOR
26
Shots on goal
50
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
40
Hits
27
16
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
13
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2A. PeekeD000+100.05520—25:25
27A. BoqvistD000-240.19300—20:59
38B. JennerC000-100.226024420:28
13J. GaudreauL000-130.22000—20:26
15G. BayreutherD000+110.03122—20:13
86K. MarchenkoR000-140.40100—19:29
50E. RobinsonL101010.11110—17:45
6B. SweezeyD000-110.01130—17:34
75T. BerniD000-110.02210—17:31
7S. KuralyC000000.027024017:10
19L. FoudyC011+120.27110015:49
96J. RoslovicC101020.250206015:22
47M. BjorkD000-110.02320—13:12
91K. JohnsonC011030.26010012:58
52E. BemstromC000-120.14100012:57
21J. DunneC000-200.024004310:32
41H. McKownC000-110.03400009:50
46J. LuotoL000-200.00010—07:23
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
73J. Greaves(L)49463.9395.47+2.4758:57

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).