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Ducks at Flames
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
4
Calgary Flames
▸5
FinalTV BSSC, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-4. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Ducks led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Stone's goal at 17:22 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were ANA 22, CGY 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 36 of 41 (.878), 1.4 goals below expected; Dan Vladar stopped 11 of 13 (.846), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Stone (1 G), 2. Troy Stecher (1 A), 3. Trevor Zegras (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Stone1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    T. Stecher1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    T. Zegras1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA292904422
CGYCGY09319213541

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    F. Vatrano(19)
    T. Zegras (38), K. Shattenkirk (20)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:17
  2. ANA
    M. Comtois(9)
    F. Vatrano (19), K. Shattenkirk (21)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    17:50

2nd period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(16)PPG
    T. Toffoli (37), R. Andersson (38)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    0:33
  2. CGY
    N. Zadorov(10)
    J. Huberdeau (37), T. Toffoli (38)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    7:12
  3. CGY
    N. Ritchie(13)
    T. Stecher (11), N. Kadri (30)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    8:18
  4. ANA
    F. Vatrano(20)
    S. Carrick (3), C. Fowler (34)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    3-3
    9:16
  5. ANA
    S. Harrington(4)
    S. Carrick (4), M. Comtois (10)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +20 pts
    4-3
    12:56

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Lucic(7)
    B. Coleman (19), M. Weegar (26)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +28 pts
    4-4
    6:26
  2. CGY
    M. Stone(6)
    N. Ritchie (13), N. Kadri (31)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +42 pts
    4-5
    17:22

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·CGY 2 PIM

1st

  • 15:50CGYBlake Coleman · Slashingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 19:06ANAColton White · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

2nd

  • 2:59ANABrett Leason · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalANA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Stone, 3rd 17:22 — CGY 52% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.31T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.18A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.16N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.15M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.15T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.10N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.09A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.08W. Duehr · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.07D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.07T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.07T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.07N. Zadorov · Goal · xG 0.07W. Duehr · On goal · xG 0.07W. Duehr · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.06M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lucic · Goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04W. Duehr · Missed · xG 0.04R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01
CGY5 G · 3.5 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCGY
1.64 G
All situations
5 G3.5
1.34 G
Even strength
4 G3.2
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA19%81%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.60 – 3.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCGY
22
Shots on goal
41
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
16
Hits
17
18
Blocked shots
8
11
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD011+110.05040—25:37
22K. ShattenkirkD022+120.01310—21:48
17S. HarringtonD101010.04020—20:09
13S. BenoitD000000.00220—20:00
11T. ZegrasC011+220.120001718:21
77F. VatranoR213+330.36010—17:37
16R. StromeC000+110.170101717:28
21I. LundestromC000020.112103316:19
28N. BeaulieuD000-120.02110—15:59
44M. ComtoisL112+110.10020—15:15
38D. GrantC000-200.130007115:13
39S. CarrickC022+210.013103015:10
45C. WhiteD000-100.00122—14:39
33J. SilfverbergR000-320.06000—13:29
26B. McGinnL000-310.08100—12:53
49M. JonesL000020.29100—12:52
37M. McTavishC000000.000006212:37
20B. LeasonR000-110.05202—12:21
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)41365.8783.55-1.4558:46

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).