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Flames at Ducks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸3
Anaheim Ducks
2
Final/OTTV BSSC, SN1·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2 in overtime, Rasmus Andersson scoring at 2:24. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Andersson's goal at 2:24 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were CGY 45, ANA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Lukas Dostal stopped 42 of 45 (.933), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Rasmus Andersson (1 G), 2. Lukas Dostal (42 saves, .933), 3. Elias Lindholm.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    L. Dostal42 saves, .933
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY1912301211345
ANAANA1100111200223

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Stone(4)
    A. Ruzicka (14), N. Zadorov (3)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:19
  2. ANA
    M. McTavish(6)PPG
    C. Fowler (13), T. Terry (17)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:44

2nd period

  1. CGY
    B. Ritchie(6)
    T. Lewis (5)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    2:56

3rd period

  1. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(5)PPG
    F. Vatrano (9), R. Strome (10)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    3:28

Overtime

  1. CGY
    R. Andersson(5)
    T. Toffoli (14), J. Huberdeau (18)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    2:24

Penalties

CGY 15 PIM·ANA 13 PIM

1st

  • 15:05CGYAdam Ruzicka · Trippingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 16:34CGYBlake Coleman · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 19:09ANAMaxime Comtois · Fightingdrawn by Noah Hanifin5 min
  • 19:09CGYNoah Hanifin · Fightingdrawn by Maxime Comtois5 min

2nd

  • 0:24ANAJakob Silfverberg · Slashingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 5:46ANAMason McTavish · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 12:35ANAJohn Klingberg · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 15:05ANAJohn Klingberg · Trippingdrawn by Brett Ritchie2 min

3rd

  • 2:03CGYNikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 10:24CGYElias Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 13:53CGYDillon Dube · Trippingdrawn by Justin Kirkland2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCGY goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Andersson, OT 2:24 — CGY 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.19M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.17A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.15M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.14T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.12J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.12J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.11C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.10K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.09T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.09T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.08M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07B. Leason · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kirkland · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kirkland · Missed · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.05J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.05M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.03B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · Missed · xG 0.01J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.00F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.5 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsANA
3.93 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.43 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
1.30 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY72%28%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.89 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsANA
45
Shots on goal
23
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/4
Power play
2/5
15
Penalty minutes
13
13
Hits
11
15
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD101+240.43040—27:35
8C. TanevD000020.06150—21:43
55N. HanifinD000040.31105—21:39
91N. KadriC000020.232005619:39
28E. LindholmC000+120.200025518:48
52M. WeegarD000000.09000—18:42
16N. ZadorovD011+230.12122—18:38
11M. BacklundC000+140.421005818:34
10J. HuberdeauL011010.06010—18:09
73T. ToffoliC011+120.29100016:07
29D. DubeC000040.61002016:03
88A. MangiapaneL000020.23100—15:41
20B. ColemanL000010.2000210013:50
22T. LewisC011+250.0710010012:25
17M. LucicL000010.02210—11:48
63A. RuzickaC011+120.160025011:09
24B. RitchieR101+240.37100—09:05
26M. StoneD101+120.05120—09:05
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)23212.9132.49+0.4961:52

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).