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New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV MSGSN2, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the New Jersey Devils 6-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nino Niederreiter's goal at 16:15 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were NJD 32, WPG 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.9 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (31 saves, .969), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (2 G), 3. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    P. Dubois1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD07014111132
WPGWPG2132826627

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:59
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    16:15

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Barron(8)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    2:42
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.20win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    10:34

3rd period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.05
    0-5
    10:19
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(12)PPG
    snapxG 0.13
    0-6
    14:10
  3. NJD
    J. Hughes (50), J. Bratt (37)
    backhandxG 0.20
    1-6
    19:46

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:00WPGDylan Samberg · Holdingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
  • 14:05NJDErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 19:36NJDJonas Siegenthaler · High stickingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min

2nd

  • 2:42NJDDamon Severson · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Morgan Barron0 min

3rd

  • 0:37WPGMark Scheifele · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min
  • 12:17NJDTimo Meier · Holdingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 17:50WPGDylan DeMelo · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNJD goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nino Niederreiter, 1st 16:15 — WPG 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Barron · Goal · xG 0.24N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.22K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.21N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.13M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.13V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.13N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.13P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.00B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG6 G · 2.6 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsWPG
2.91 G
All situations
6 G2.6
2.10 G
Even strength
5 G2.0
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD56%44%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 2.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsWPG
32
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
17
7
Blocked shots
21
8
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33R. GravesD000-230.07130—20:56
86J. HughesC011020.200102520:37
6J. MarinoD000-220.02000—20:17
7D. HamiltonD000-110.01100—19:19
28D. SeversonD000-110.06110—19:11
63J. BrattL011020.39100—18:22
88K. BahlD000000.00210—18:00
13N. HischierC101-180.901003817:30
71J. SiegenthalerD000-220.02012—16:56
91D. MercerC000000.0400010016:36
96T. MeierR000-120.58002—16:25
17Y. SharangovichC000020.18000015:15
56E. HaulaL000-330.160025713:53
18O. PalatL000-210.01000—13:50
90T. TatarL000-220.13000—12:52
20M. McLeodC000-100.011006412:50
70J. BoqvistC000-200.05000011:26
44M. WoodL000010.05100—09:52
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)21174.8102.13-1.8740:00
29M. Blackwood642.6670.45-1.5520:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).