Hurricanes at Canadiens 3-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Carolina Hurricanes

▸3

Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV BSSO, SNE·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Stastny's goal at 10:51 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.5 to 1.1; shots on goal were CAR 50, MTL 14. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 14 of 14 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 47 of 50 (.940), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brent Burns (1 A), 2. Paul Stastny (1 G, 1 A), 3. Samuel Montembeault (47 saves, .940).

Three stars

★
B. Burns1 A
★★
P. Stastny1 G, 1 A
★★★
S. Montembeault47 saves, .940

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CAR	118	218	014	350
MTL	05	05	04	014

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

B. Skjei(17)
P. Stastny (13), B. Pesce (25)
snapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
1-0
6:00

2nd period

P. Stastny(9)
B. Burns (42), S. Jarvis (21)
tip-inxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
2-0
10:51
S. Aho(34)PPG
S. Noesen (20), J. Drury (4)
snapxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
3-0
16:27

Penalties

6 PIM·

4 PIM

2nd

11:45Brady Skjei · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta2 min
14:40Jake Evans · Holdingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
16:27Johnathan Kovacevic · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
19:44Jesperi Kotkaniemi · Roughingdrawn by Johnathan Kovacevic2 min

3rd

15:21Jordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Sean Farrell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: MTL

Biggest swing: Paul Stastny, 2nd 10:51 — CAR 66% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.1 xG · 19 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.5 xG · 64 att MTL

0 G · 1.1 xG · 19 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.53 G
All situations: 0 G1.1; 1.92 G
Even strength: 0 G1.0; 0.61 G
Power play: 0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

78%22%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 1.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

50
Shots on goal: 14; 61%
Faceoffs: 39%; 1/2
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 4; 9
Hits: 16; 6
Blocked shots: 19; 13
Giveaways: 18; 6
Takeaways: 5

Box score

every player line

Carolina Hurricanes skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
8B. BurnsD	0	1	1	+1	8	0.27	0	0	0	—	22:42
22B. PesceD	0	1	1	+1	7	0.16	1	2	0	—	20:45
76B. SkjeiD	1	0	1	+1	2	0.04	0	0	2	—	20:13
74J. SlavinD	0	0	0	+1	5	0.22	0	0	0	—	19:59
41S. GostisbehereD	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	0	0	—	17:52
5J. ChatfieldD	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	1	0	—	17:39
11J. StaalC	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	0	2	67	17:13
20S. AhoC	1	0	1	0	2	0.31	1	0	0	71	16:01
48J. MartinookL	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	1	0	—	15:59
82J. KotkaniemiC	0	0	0	0	4	0.19	1	1	2	64	15:38
24S. JarvisR	0	1	1	+2	4	0.14	1	0	0	—	15:16
21D. StepanC	0	0	0	+2	1	0.06	0	0	0	50	14:45
88M. NecasC	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	67	14:32
71J. FastR	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	—	14:23
13J. PuljujarviR	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	1	0	0	—	13:11
23S. NoesenR	0	1	1	0	2	0.18	0	1	0	—	13:06
18J. DruryC	0	1	1	0	2	0.08	0	0	0	100	12:45
26P. StastnyC	1	1	2	+2	4	0.17	0	0	0	50	12:01

Carolina Hurricanes goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
32A. Raanta(W)	14	14	0	1.000	1.07	+1.07	60:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Carolina Hurricanes at Montréal Canadiens

1st period

2nd period

2nd

3rd

Box score