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Canadiens at Hurricanes
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
FinalTV BSSO, TSN2·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 2:05 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 2.5; shots on goal were MTL 22, CAR 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 35 of 41 (.854), 2.3 goals below expected; Antti Raanta stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Seth Jarvis (3 G), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 3. Antti Raanta (20 saves, .909).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis3 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Raanta20 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL181806222
CARCAR217012412641

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    M. Pezzetta(4)
    R. Pitlick (3), J. Ylonen (4)
    batxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:24
  2. CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi(9)
    M. Necas (27), B. Burns (28)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:14
  3. CAR
    S. Jarvis(9)
    S. Aho (24), A. Svechnikov (25)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:47

2nd period

  1. MTL
    R. Harvey-Pinard(7)PPG
    M. Hoffman (13), J. Armia (7)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    15:01

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(24)
    C. de Haan (10), A. Svechnikov (26)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +24 pts
    2-3
    2:05
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(10)
    B. Burns (29), A. Svechnikov (27)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    3:53
  3. CAR
    J. Staal(15)
    J. Martinook (16), J. Fast (14)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    5:00
  4. CAR
    S. Jarvis(11)SHG
    D. Stepan (4)
    backhandxG 0.22
    2-6
    19:40

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:19MTLMichael Pezzetta · Hookingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min

2nd

  • 6:43CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Holdingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 13:54CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Justin Barron2 min

3rd

  • 6:37MTLMichael Pezzetta · Holding the stickdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 12:54MTLChris Wideman · Interferencedrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 17:44CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Trippingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalMTL goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 3rd 2:05 — CAR 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.22S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.19J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.16J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.15S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.15J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.13B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.12J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.08B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.08P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.08P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.04J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 3.7 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsCAR
2.52 G
All situations
6 G3.7
2.01 G
Even strength
5 G2.9
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL30%70%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 3.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsCAR
22
Shots on goal
41
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
12
13
Blocked shots
5
13
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000-100.00120—25:54
58D. SavardD000-110.11110—23:44
14N. SuzukiC000-120.181003520:56
26J. KovacevicD000-410.01200—20:43
54J. HarrisD000020.06040—20:32
49R. Harvey-PinardL101-110.34010—19:02
17J. AndersonR000-260.70120—18:49
28C. DvorakC000-200.000105616:21
68M. HoffmanC011-210.05000016:01
27J. DrouinL000-330.1800010014:47
40J. ArmiaR011-100.10000—14:43
60A. BelzileR000-200.000006414:35
6C. WidemanD000-400.00002—14:33
63E. DadonovL000-420.40000—13:13
55M. PezzettaL101+130.36704—10:25
32R. PitlickC011+100.000102510:04
52J. BarronD000+100.00200—10:02
56J. YlonenR011000.00010—09:36
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)41356.8543.74-2.2660:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).