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Blues at Predators
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
1
Nashville Predators
▸6
FinalTV BSSO, BSMW·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the St. Louis Blues 6-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cody Glass's goal at 7:20 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 68% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were STL 22, NSH 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 29 of 35 (.829), 3.4 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Luke Evangelista (1 G, 2 A), 2. Tommy Novak (1 G, 3 A), 3. Cody Glass (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    L. Evangelista1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    T. Novak1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    C. Glass1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0301514122
NSHNSH210210215635

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    T. Novak(15)
    L. Evangelista (5)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:46
  2. NSH
    C. Glass(13)PPG
    T. Novak (21), L. Evangelista (6)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    7:20

2nd period

  1. NSH
    C. Sissons(12)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    7:36
  2. NSH
    L. Evangelista(6)
    K. Sherwood (6), T. Novak (22)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    13:27

3rd period

  1. STL
    C. Rosen(8)
    A. Toropchenko (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    8:36
  2. NSH
    Y. Trenin(11)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.07
    1-5
    11:49
  3. NSH
    P. Tomasino(5)PPG
    T. Barrie (40), T. Novak (23)
    deflectedxG 0.09
    1-6
    18:06

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:54STLJosh Leivo · Cross checkingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min
  • 14:28NSHCole Smith · Trippingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 14:28NSHCole Smith · Roughingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 14:28STLSammy Blais · Roughingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min
  • 17:41STLTyler Pitlick · Boardingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min

2nd

  • 4:13NSHKiefer Sherwood · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 7:18NSHKiefer Sherwood · Trippingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
  • 8:58NSHCal Foote · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
  • 17:29STLSammy Blais · Slashingdrawn by Juuse Saros2 min

3rd

  • 17:19STLJake Neighbours · Trippingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSTL goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Cody Glass, 1st 7:20 — NSH 68% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Evangelista · Goal · xG 0.18L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.12C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.11M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.11K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.11P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.11T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.10C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.09C. Glass · Goal · xG 0.09P. Tomasino · Goal · xG 0.09C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.08M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.08P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.08Y. Trenin · Goal · xG 0.07P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.06M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.05T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.05E. Afanasyev · Missed · xG 0.05T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.05R. Asplund · Missed · xG 0.05E. Afanasyev · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.04M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.03M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stastney · Missed · xG 0.03R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.02R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.01P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.01C. Foote · Missed · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.01E. Afanasyev · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.01C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.01C. Foote · Missed · xG 0.01C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.01C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.01K. Gravel · Missed · xG 0.01K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH6 G · 2.6 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNSH
2.31 G
All situations
6 G2.6
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
1.00 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL44%56%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNSH
22
Shots on goal
35
25%
Faceoffs
75%
0/4
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
3
3
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000-220.05140—24:23
4N. LeddyD000-100.13000—22:57
72J. FaulkD000-110.09120—21:17
10B. SchennC000-110.161005018:46
42K. KapanenR000-310.10000—18:29
47T. KrugD000-120.23100—17:51
79S. BlaisL000-220.21404—17:21
43C. RosenD101+120.07020—16:53
15J. VranaL000-130.48000—16:18
20B. SaadL000010.05000—16:06
25J. KyrouR000-320.21000—15:40
63J. NeighboursL000010.09102—14:50
13A. ToropchenkoR011010.11210—14:27
26N. WalkerL000010.12110913:13
22L. BrownC000000.004101712:52
17J. LeivoL000010.07102—11:49
9T. PitlickC000010.14212010:40
6M. ScandellaD000-100.00110—10:28
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(L)35296.8292.64-3.3659:27

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).