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Flames at Canucks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸5
Vancouver Canucks
4
Final/OTTV SN, SN1·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-4 in overtime, Tyler Toffoli scoring at 3:27. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Canucks led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 3:27 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were CGY 41, VAN 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.9 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 36 of 41 (.878), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Toffoli (2 G), 2. Aidan McDonough (1 G), 3. Quinn Hughes (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    T. Toffoli2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    A. McDonough1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY01131511114541
VANVAN16360206420

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    C. Garland(14)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:30

2nd period

  1. VAN
    E. Pettersson(36)PPG
    Q. Hughes (66), A. Kuzmenko (32)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    0:36
  2. CGY
    T. Toffoli(32)
    A. Mangiapane (22)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:55
  3. CGY
    B. Coleman(18)
    M. Backlund (34), T. Stecher (10)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    9:00
  4. VAN
    A. McDonough(1)
    S. Dries (6), J. Studnicka (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    12:12
  5. CGY
    T. Stecher(2)
    N. Kadri (29), D. Dube (24)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    15:52
  6. VAN
    A. Beauvillier(17)
    N. Aman (11), T. Myers (15)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +21 pts
    3-4
    16:06

3rd period

  1. CGY
    J. Huberdeau(15)PPG
    N. Hanifin (29), M. Weegar (24)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +34 pts
    4-4
    16:47

Overtime

  1. CGY
    T. Toffoli(33)
    M. Backlund (35), M. Weegar (25)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    3:27

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·VAN 12 PIM

1st

  • 9:08VANSheldon Dries · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 13:04VANAnthony Beauvillier · High sticking double minordrawn by Blake Coleman4 min
  • 18:50CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Hookingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

2nd

  • 3:41CGYserved by M. Lucic · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:04VANTyler Myers · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau0 min
  • 18:31VANPhillip Di Giuseppe · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min

3rd

  • 15:38VANElias Pettersson · High stickingdrawn by Walker Duehr2 min
  • 17:14VANKyle Burroughs · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCGY goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, OT 3:27 — CGY 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Garland · Goal · xG 0.19D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.18D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.18D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.15A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.14A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.13B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.13J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.11E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Aman · Missed · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.06A. McDonough · Goal · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.04P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.02J. Studnicka · Missed · xG 0.01G. Brisebois · Missed · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.00S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 2.1 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVAN
4.25 G
All situations
4 G2.1
2.64 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
1.51 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY81%19%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.21 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVAN
41
Shots on goal
20
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/6
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
12
30
Hits
33
12
Blocked shots
25
1
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD022060.21440—25:10
4R. AnderssonD000+120.02100—24:29
55N. HanifinD011000.06030—23:31
28E. LindholmC000+140.603106321:59
88A. MangiapaneL011+120.53012—20:44
16N. ZadorovD000030.05400—20:40
10J. HuberdeauL101-130.47200—20:21
91N. KadriC011+130.282004020:07
73T. ToffoliC202+260.70000019:42
11M. BacklundC022020.501003918:29
20B. ColemanL101-110.30100—13:44
51T. StecherD112030.13100—13:10
27N. RitchieL000+130.21100—13:02
29D. DubeC011+110.11210012:10
48D. GilbertD000000.00310—11:13
71W. DuehrR000020.07300—09:42
17M. LucicL000-200.00100—09:23
22T. LewisC000-100.001103308:59
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)20164.8002.13-1.8763:27

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).