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Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV SNP, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Coleman's goal at 9:32 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were VAN 24, CGY 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Spencer Martin stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.5 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Blake Coleman (1 G), 2. MacKenzie Weegar (1 G, 1 A), 3. Elias Pettersson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    B. Coleman1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Weegar1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN091817224
CGYCGY01331106330

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:21
  2. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.29win prob +17 pts
    0-2
    9:32
  3. CGY
    C. Tanev (6), N. Kadri (15)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    14:17
  4. VAN
    batxG 0.21win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    15:28

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat (14), E. Bear (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    4:06

Penalties

VAN 4 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:41VANJ.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 13:18CGYBlake Coleman · Holding the stickdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min

2nd

  • 2:01CGYMikael Backlund · Slashingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 8:25CGYNoah Hanifin · Kneeingdrawn by Jack Studnicka2 min
  • 11:00CGYMichael Stone · Cross checkingdrawn by Jack Studnicka2 min
  • 17:30VANQuinn Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVAN goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Coleman, 2nd 9:32 — CGY 68% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.51T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.49B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.29B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.20D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.17B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.17B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.13N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.12E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.11M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.10D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.08M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.06R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.05M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.05T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.00M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 3.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCGY
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN41%59%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCGY
24
Shots on goal
30
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
15
8
Blocked shots
10
7
Giveaways
14
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000+240.41102—25:56
53B. HorvatC011010.040003921:48
40E. PetterssonC101020.172303321:47
57T. MyersD000-200.01010—20:35
8C. GarlandR011050.09100—19:39
96A. KuzmenkoL000000.10000—19:30
9J. MillerC000-110.192022519:17
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-230.03000—19:08
74E. BearD011+100.00110—18:28
65I. MikheyevR000010.03000—18:06
6B. BoeserR000+100.00000—14:59
15S. DriesC101030.272105714:11
24T. DermottD000000.02000—13:01
2L. SchennD000010.07200—12:51
7W. LockwoodR000-110.18310—11:31
20C. LazarC000-100.104005010:59
18J. StudnickaC000-110.241106009:31
81D. JoshuaC000-110.06000007:27
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Martin(L)30273.9002.47-0.5357:16

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).