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Rangers at Sabres
NHL

New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
2
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
Final/OTTV MSG-B, MSGSN·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Jeff Skinner scoring at 1:50. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Skinner's goal at 1:50 of overtime, which took the Sabres' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.5 to 2.8; shots on goal were NYR 33, BUF 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Devon Levi stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Devon Levi (31 saves, .939), 2. Jeff Skinner (1 G), 3. JJ Peterka (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    D. Levi31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Skinner1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Peterka1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR021912002233
BUFBUF1111130911334

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Peterka(11)
    D. Cozens (34), J. Quinn (21)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:20

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Greenway(4)
    C. Mittelstadt (35), R. Dahlin (52)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    7:39
  2. NYR
    K. Kakko(15)
    F. Chytil (21), A. Lafrenière (22)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    12:17

3rd period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox(12)
    B. Goodrow (17), T. Motte (10)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +30 pts
    2-2
    9:45

Overtime

  1. BUF
    J. Skinner(32)
    C. Mittelstadt (36), O. Power (26)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    1:50

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·BUF 2 PIM

1st

  • 15:07NYRMika Zibanejad · Trippingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min

2nd

  • 0:23NYRArtemi Panarin · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min

3rd

  • 10:09BUFIlya Lyubushkin · Hookingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalNYR goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Jeff Skinner, OT 1:50 — BUF 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.38A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.19J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.18J. Greenway · Goal · xG 0.15J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.13J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.12J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.12J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.11J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.10J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.09D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.09J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.08J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.07J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.07J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.07J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.07J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.06J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.05J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.05A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.05K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.04J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.03A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.03K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.03C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.02K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.01J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.01
BUF3 G · 2.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsBUF
3.52 G
All situations
3 G2.8
3.32 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR59%41%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.38 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsBUF
33
Shots on goal
34
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
30
Hits
14
15
Blocked shots
12
1
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD101+240.27030—23:20
79K. MillerD000-210.18420—23:10
8J. TroubaD000-110.04420—20:45
77N. MikkolaD000000.01100—19:03
10A. PanarinL000-230.300025017:22
72F. ChytilC011+120.350004417:06
4B. SchneiderD000000.01210—17:00
5B. HarpurD000010.01420—16:43
93M. ZibanejadC000-100.002025816:33
91V. TarasenkoR000-120.14320—16:28
13A. LafrenièreL011+120.07000—16:02
16V. TrocheckC000-220.134104315:59
24K. KakkoR101+140.66000—15:12
20C. KreiderL000010.181005014:32
88P. KaneR000-210.04000—13:45
21B. GoodrowC011+120.500208813:01
26J. VeseyL000+130.41000—12:54
14T. MotteC011+140.18500012:35
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(O)34313.9122.84-0.1661:50

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).