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New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres

Final/OTTV MSG-B, MSGSN·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Buffalo Sabres 2-1 in overtime, Artemi Panarin scoring at 2:02. The Sabres scored first; the Rangers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artemi Panarin's goal at 2:02 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYR 26, BUF 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (32 saves, .970), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G), 3. Jeff Skinner (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Skinner1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR071501113226
BUFBUF0611301400133

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. BUF
    slapxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    7:52
  2. NYR
    K. Miller (25), J. Trouba (17)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    11:28

Overtime

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin(20)PPG
    A. Fox (49), M. Zibanejad (36)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    2:02

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

2nd

  • 2:54NYRJacob Trouba · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 19:03BUFZemgus Girgensons · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

3rd

  • 9:50BUFserved by C. Mittelstadt · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:02NYRChris Kreider · Interferencedrawn by Owen Power2 min

OT

  • 1:12BUFRasmus Dahlin · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalNYR goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Artemi Panarin, OT 2:02 — NYR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.20J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.18D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.16P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.14J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.13D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.13T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.13T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.12M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.12T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.09J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.08D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.08T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.07J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.07J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.07J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.06J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.06C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.05J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.04J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.03J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.03M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.02O. Power · On goal · xG 0.02M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.01
BUF1 G · 3.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsBUF
2.52 G
All situations
1 G3.0
1.21 G
Even strength
1 G2.9
1.21 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR41%59%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsBUF
26
Shots on goal
33
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
19
22
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011020.17140—26:29
79K. MillerD011010.05120—22:03
88P. KaneR101+130.38100—22:00
8J. TroubaD011010.02332—21:45
77N. MikkolaD000020.05850—21:23
16V. TrocheckC000+110.231006120:31
10A. PanarinL101+150.46010—20:05
93M. ZibanejadC011010.250006817:44
13A. LafrenièreL000000.12000—16:08
72F. ChytilC000020.100202915:27
20C. KreiderL000020.1220210015:01
4B. SchneiderD000020.07110—14:21
91V. TarasenkoR000020.17000—13:24
24K. KakkoR000000.13110—12:52
5B. HarpurD000000.00110—12:37
21B. GoodrowC000-100.003207511:12
14T. MotteC000-110.09100010:10
26J. VeseyL000-110.06000—09:53
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)33321.9702.97+1.9761:53

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).