New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Rangers beat the Buffalo Sabres 2-1 in overtime, Artemi Panarin scoring at 2:02. The Sabres scored first; the Rangers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artemi Panarin's goal at 2:02 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYR 26, BUF 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (32 saves, .970), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G), 3. Jeff Skinner (1 G).
Three stars
- ★I. Shesterkin32 saves, .970

- ★★A. Panarin1 G

- ★★★J. Skinner1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
0-17:52
1-111:28
Overtime
2-12:02
Penalties
2nd
- 2:54
Jacob Trouba · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
- 19:03
Zemgus Girgensons · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
3rd
- 9:50
served by C. Mittelstadt · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 13:02
Chris Kreider · Interferencedrawn by Owen Power2 min
OT
- 1:12
Rasmus Dahlin · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Artemi Panarin, OT 2:02 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.52 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.0
- 1.21 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.9
- 1.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 2.95
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 24
- Hits
- 19
- 22
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 6
- Giveaways
- 9
- 5
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
BUF leads 2-1
2@
1OTthis game
2@
3OTFinal
3@
2SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















