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Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸7
Vegas Golden Knights
4
FinalTV SN1, TVAS·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 7-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Oilers led 6-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evander Kane's goal at 13:30 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 67% to 85%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.9, VGK 2.8; shots on goal were EDM 39, VGK 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.1 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 28 of 34 (.824), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 4 A), 2. Connor McDavid (3 A), 3. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 4 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM31332115739
VGKVGK2616110422

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(25)
    I. Barbashev (26)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:12
  2. EDM
    E. Bouchard(6)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (58), C. McDavid (81)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    1-1
    1:49
  3. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(35)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    8:20
  4. VGK
    W. Karlsson(14)SHG
    A. Pietrangelo (39)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    9:24
  5. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(47)PPG
    C. McDavid (82), R. Nugent-Hopkins (59)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +11 pts
    3-2
    9:48

2nd period

  1. VGK
    M. Amadio(13)
    C. Stephenson (43), P. Kessel (20)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    3-3
    3:13
  2. EDM
    D. Nurse(10)
    W. Foegele (13), R. Nugent-Hopkins (60)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    6:01
  3. EDM
    E. Kane(14)
    L. Draisaitl (69), K. Yamamoto (13)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    5-3
    13:30
  4. EDM
    Z. Hyman(33)PPG
    C. McDavid (83), R. Nugent-Hopkins (61)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    6-3
    15:34

3rd period

  1. EDM
    B. Kulak(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    7-3
    4:24
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(26)
    A. Pietrangelo (40), J. Eichel (32)
    snapxG 0.26
    7-4
    18:28

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:41VGKShea Theodore · Trippingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 8:42VGKJonathan Quick · Trippingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 17:23EDMMattias Janmark · Hookingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min

2nd

  • 13:53VGKZach Whitecloud · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 17:46EDMZach Hyman · Hookingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min

3rd

  • 2:18EDMBrett Kulak · Trippingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Evander Kane, 2nd 13:30 — EDM 67% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.25W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.23W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.21I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.19M. Amadio · Goal · xG 0.18J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.17C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.17I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.13P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.12A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.11C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.10N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.07N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.05N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.04A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 2.8 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
2.97 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.54 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.53 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM52%48%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
39
Shots on goal
22
59%
Faceoffs
41%
3/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
19
8
Blocked shots
18
3
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD101040.14120—22:09
5C. CeciD000010.01100—19:17
2E. BouchardD101-230.18220—19:10
14M. EkholmD000000.01210—19:07
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC145020.09000018:47
29L. DraisaitlC112040.492006718:09
97C. McDavidC033000.212007117:50
91E. KaneL101+1110.54400—17:31
72N. BjugstadC000-130.194005317:20
18Z. HymanL101-220.26102—17:08
56K. YamamotoR011+120.29100—16:47
73V. DesharnaisD000+200.01220—14:32
37W. FoegeleL011010.17200—13:56
10D. RyanC000+110.210103313:24
26M. JanmarkC000-100.000025013:24
27B. KulakD101+240.12002—12:50
21K. KostinC000-110.02400012:29
86P. BrobergD000000.00000—10:10
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)22184.8182.85-1.1560:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).