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Golden Knights at Oilers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
3
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3 in overtime, Connor McDavid scoring at 1:17. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 1:17 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.7 to 3.1; shots on goal were VGK 34, EDM 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 0.9 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (3 A), 3. Mark Stone (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins3 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Stone2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK1911311200334
EDMEDM110171511423

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    W. Foegele(3)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (10), R. Murray (3)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:56
  2. VGK
    K. Kolesar(3)
    S. Theodore (10), B. Howden (2)
    deflectedxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:22

2nd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(6)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.37win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    4:09
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(10)
    D. Nurse (7), R. Nugent-Hopkins (11)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    10:29

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(9)PPG
    C. McDavid (18), R. Nugent-Hopkins (12)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +20 pts
    2-3
    0:38
  2. VGK
    M. Stone(7)
    S. Theodore (11), J. Eichel (12)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +32 pts
    3-3
    11:33

Overtime

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(16)
    D. Nurse (8), L. Draisaitl (20)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    1:17

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:04EDMDylan Holloway · Hookingdrawn by Zach Whitecloud2 min
  • 8:15EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Hookingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 11:03VGKWilliam Carrier · Hookingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min

2nd

  • 4:09EDMRyan Murray · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Mark Stone0 min
  • 6:39EDMEvan Bouchard · High stickingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min
  • 12:24VGKKeegan Kolesar · Holdingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 19:01VGKAlec Martinez · Holdingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVGK goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, OT 1:17 — EDM 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.36C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.30M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.29D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.28W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.12K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.04D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.03C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.02J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.00D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 3.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsEDM
3.73 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.33 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
1.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK59%41%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.64 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsEDM
34
Shots on goal
23
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
31
13
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
24
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD000-220.02000—24:48
19R. SmithR000-110.2410010020:08
71W. KarlssonC000-120.591004319:20
3B. McNabbD000+210.03120—19:02
23A. MartinezD000-100.00142—18:50
20C. StephensonC000-130.330008218:06
2Z. WhitecloudD000030.09110—18:04
61M. StoneR202040.87200—17:52
27S. TheodoreD022+140.10120—17:47
14N. HagueD000-100.00320—17:08
9J. EichelC011050.430006716:42
81J. MarchessaultR000-130.20100—16:12
21B. HowdenC011+110.133104516:01
28W. CarrierL000+110.18302—13:27
8P. KesselR000020.19000—13:08
55K. KolesarR101+110.23112—12:38
22M. AmadioR000010.110005011:07
43P. CotterL000000.00100—08:36
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(O)23194.8263.08-0.9260:35

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).