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Golden Knights at Oilers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers

Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3 in overtime, Nicolas Roy scoring at 2:26. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicolas Roy's goal at 2:26 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were VGK 34, EDM 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Stuart Skinner stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nicolas Roy (1 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jack Eichel (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    N. Roy1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK290811512434
EDMEDM114191601330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:01
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:28
  3. VGK
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    16:27

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    10:30

3rd period

  1. VGK
    slapxG 0.05win prob +29 pts
    3-2
    6:57
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.11win prob +34 pts
    3-3
    11:19

Overtime

  1. VGK
    N. Roy(13)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    2:26

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:10VGKPhil Kessel · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 14:45EDMKailer Yamamoto · Holding the stickdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min

2nd

  • 10:09VGKShea Theodore · Holdingdrawn by Devin Shore2 min

3rd

  • 13:13EDMMattias Ekholm · Holdingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
  • 18:21VGKPhil Kessel · Roughingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
  • 18:21EDMVincent Desharnais · Roughingdrawn by Phil Kessel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVGK goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Nicolas Roy, OT 2:26 — VGK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.19E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.13K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.13M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.11W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.10W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.10E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.07M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.00M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 2.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsEDM
3.14 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.83 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK56%44%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsEDM
34
Shots on goal
30
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
36
24
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD000000.10030—25:00
27S. TheodoreD022+130.10022—24:07
3B. McNabbD000020.18540—20:54
9J. EichelC123+140.441005320:37
14N. HagueD000010.05130—20:32
49I. BarbashevL011000.29220—18:50
20C. StephensonC000000.0031010018:43
71W. KarlssonC011020.180104418:06
10N. RoyC101+170.662105017:28
81J. MarchessaultR112020.12100—17:09
8P. KesselR011020.13004—15:46
2Z. WhitecloudD000010.05110—15:02
16P. DorofeyevR101020.17100—13:51
17B. HuttonD000000.00040—13:30
22M. AmadioR000040.38100—12:45
53T. BluegerC000020.171005411:29
55K. KolesarR000010.03510—10:05
21B. HowdenC000010.06110009:24
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39L. Brossoit(W)30273.9002.79-0.2162:26

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).