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Penguins at Stars
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
Dallas Stars
▸3
FinalTV SNE, SN1·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joe Pavelski's goal at 9:49 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 59% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.0 to 2.9; shots on goal were PIT 42, DAL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Jake Oettinger stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Oettinger (40 saves, .952), 2. Jamie Benn (1 G), 3. Miro Heiskanen (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger40 saves, .952
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT015113114242
DALDAL11401128333

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(33)
    J. Robertson (49), C. Miller (14)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:45

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(31)
    M. Friedman (1), J. Guentzel (34)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    4:00

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(21)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (51), J. Robertson (50)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +24 pts
    1-2
    9:49
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(31)
    M. Domi (34), E. Dadonov (21)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    11:25
  3. PIT
    P. Joseph(5)
    D. Heinen (13), R. Poehling (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    2-3
    13:43

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:21DALRoope Hintz · High stickingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 15:52PITJason Zucker · Trippingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min

3rd

  • 6:13PITPierre-Olivier Joseph · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 8:55PITChad Ruhwedel · High stickingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min
  • 18:52DALJani Hakanpää · Slashingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalPIT goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Joe Pavelski, 3rd 9:49 — DAL 59% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.29J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.27R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.21E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.19L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.16J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.16J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.15J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.14J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.13W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.10M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.10W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.08M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.05F. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.04E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.03F. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.03F. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.02F. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.02W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.00L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.00M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.00T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsDAL
4.02 G
All situations
3 G2.9
3.12 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT67%33%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.96 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsDAL
42
Shots on goal
33
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
15
16
Blocked shots
21
12
Giveaways
18
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000+130.10410—27:58
8B. DumoulinD000-110.01020—22:38
73P. JosephD101+120.04012—21:56
17B. RustR000+150.53100—21:25
2C. RuhwedelD000-100.00312—20:11
87S. CrosbyC101+170.721004519:10
59J. GuentzelC011+120.64110019:00
71E. MalkinC000-130.241104518:20
67R. RakellR000-130.34010—16:32
16J. ZuckerL000-130.38212—15:53
64M. GranlundC000+100.003106015:08
25R. PoehlingC011+120.340103814:40
43D. HeinenL011+110.06110—13:26
52M. FriedmanD011030.08120—12:55
4T. FedunD000020.19020—10:51
15J. ArchibaldR000-100.11100—09:22
10D. O'ConnorL000-110.0610010008:50
77J. CarterC000-140.161005008:33
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(L)33303.9092.93-0.0758:18

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).