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Dallas Stars at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, BSSWX·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Dallas Stars 2-1. The Stars scored first; the Penguins answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 19:25 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 97%. Expected goals were close — DAL 1.5, PIT 1.5; shots on goal were DAL 27, PIT 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Tristan Jarry stopped 26 of 27 (.963). Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G), 2. Pierre-Olivier Joseph (1 G), 3. Roope Hintz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    P. Joseph1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1120708127
PITPIT1110915225

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:19
  2. PIT
    P. Joseph(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    13:14

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust (11), J. Zucker (14)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +45 pts
    1-2
    19:25

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:12PITMarcus Pettersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min
  • 8:59DALRadek Faksa · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 11:58DALRyan Suter · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 19:26DALColin Miller · High stickingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

3rd

  • 1:36PITJan Rutta · Trippingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalDAL goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, 3rd 19:25 — PIT 51% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.15E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.14S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.13E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.12S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.06J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05P. Joseph · Goal · xG 0.05J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.04T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT2 G · 1.5 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsPIT
1.51 G
All situations
2 G1.5
1.11 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL49%51%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.47 – 1.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsPIT
27
Shots on goal
25
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
33
Hits
35
19
Blocked shots
22
2
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000+130.04110—27:03
23E. LindellD000020.00140—20:40
5N. LundkvistD011+110.01110—19:23
16J. PavelskiC000010.101006018:34
21J. RobertsonL000000.00000—18:17
2J. HakanpääD000-110.10530—18:08
20R. SuterD000-130.05312—17:48
24R. HintzC101060.352104417:39
91T. SeguinC000030.181106717:39
27M. MarchmentL000010.09800—15:34
53W. JohnstonC000000.090102014:36
34D. GurianovR000010.06020—14:17
10T. DellandreaC000010.10110013:51
14J. BennL000000.110005013:51
6C. MillerD000010.02212—12:31
25J. KivirantaL000010.07200—12:07
12R. FaksaC000010.021027111:52
11L. GlendeningC000010.084205011:22
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)25232.9201.51-0.4959:32

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).