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Florida Panthers at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV BSFLX, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Florida Panthers 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flyers led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Scott Laughton's goal at 16:54 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.6 to 3.5; shots on goal were FLA 44, PHI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.4 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 41 of 44 (.932), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (41 saves, .932), 2. Travis Sanheim (2 G), 3. Joel Farabee (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Hart41 saves, .932
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Sanheim2 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    J. Farabee1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA11919116344
PHIPHI11041113624

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:15
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:43

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    8:42
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.17win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    14:17
  3. PHI
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    16:54
  4. PHI
    N. Cates (20), J. Farabee (19)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    18:05
  5. PHI
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    18:55

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    3-5
    13:49
  2. PHI
    M. Frost(14)EN
    wristxG 0.96
    3-6
    17:59

Penalties

FLA 9 PIM·PHI 23 PIM

1st

  • 1:28PHIJames van Riemsdyk · Holdingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 6:22FLAGustav Forsling · Slashingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 13:35PHITony DeAngelo · Slashingdrawn by Givani Smith2 min

3rd

  • 8:29FLAAaron Ekblad · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 10:58FLARadko Gudas · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux5 min
  • 10:58PHIBrendan Lemieux · Instigatordrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 10:58PHIBrendan Lemieux · Fightingdrawn by Radko Gudas5 min
  • 10:58PHIBrendan Lemieux · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:50PHINick Seeler · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalFLA goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Scott Laughton, 2nd 16:54 — PHI 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.96I. Provorov · Goal · xG 0.29W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.24K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.20S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.20J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.18J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.16J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.14J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.14M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.10C. York · Missed · xG 0.10W. Allison · Missed · xG 0.09T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.08W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.07W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.06T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.05N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.01O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI6 G · 3.5 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsPHI
4.63 G
All situations
5 G3.5
2.82 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
1.81 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA78%22%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.52 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsPHI
44
Shots on goal
24
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/4
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
23
21
Hits
22
7
Blocked shots
22
4
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD112+150.63100—24:20
13S. ReinhartC112030.531006024:07
16A. BarkovC022070.502107923:35
19M. TkachukL101040.28000—22:53
18M. StaalD000+100.00520—20:09
23C. VerhaegheC011091.0600010019:12
5A. EkbladD000-200.00012—19:07
42G. ForslingD000-310.07102—19:05
27E. LuostarinenC011-110.320003816:49
12E. StaalC000-320.320103315:51
15A. LundellC000-230.58000015:02
28J. MahuraD000-210.01110—14:42
94R. LombergL000-310.11000—14:30
7R. GudasD000-230.04415—13:57
21N. CousinsC000-210.12200013:17
6C. WhiteC000-100.012005007:51
4C. FitzgeraldD000-100.00200—07:31
54G. SmithR000-130.01000—07:20
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(L)23185.7832.56-2.4456:42

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).