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Flyers at Panthers
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
3
Florida Panthers
▸4
FinalTV TNT, TVAS·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rudolfs Balcers's goal at 3:51 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were PHI 33, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Felix Sandstrom stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 0.8 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Verhaeghe (2 G), 2. Rudolfs Balcers (1 G), 3. Matthew Tkachuk (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    R. Balcers1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1717119333
FLAFLA21401329436

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(1)
    A. Barkov (3), R. Gudas (2)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:06
  2. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(2)
    G. Forsling (3), A. Barkov (4)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:38
  3. PHI
    N. Seeler(1)
    K. Hayes (5), Z. MacEwen (1)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    16:31

2nd period

  1. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(2)PPG
    T. Konecny (2), I. Provorov (4)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    15:16

3rd period

  1. FLA
    R. Balcers(1)
    S. Bennett (2), M. Tkachuk (3)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +26 pts
    2-3
    3:51
  2. FLA
    J. Mahura(1)
    S. Bennett (3), M. Tkachuk (4)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    9:08
  3. PHI
    T. Konecny(4)
    K. Hayes (6), T. DeAngelo (4)
    wristxG 0.07
    3-4
    19:57

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:02PHITony DeAngelo · Trippingdrawn by Colin White2 min
  • 14:02PHIIvan Provorov · Hookingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 16:45FLAPatric Hornqvist · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 19:27FLASam Reinhart · High stickingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

2nd

  • 3:45FLANick Cousins · Trippingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 11:55PHINick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 13:49FLACarter Verhaeghe · Holdingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min

3rd

  • 11:23FLARudolfs Balcers · Hookingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min
  • 17:29FLAGustav Forsling · Hookingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalPHI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Rudolfs Balcers, 3rd 3:51 — FLA 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.45G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.24M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.22A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.18C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.16S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.12P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.12R. Balcers · Goal · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.10E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.08R. Balcers · Missed · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kiersted · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kiersted · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · Goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.00M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 3.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsFLA
2.23 G
All situations
4 G3.6
0.92 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI32%68%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsFLA
33
Shots on goal
36
37%
Faceoffs
63%
1/6
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
12
18
Hits
12
14
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77T. DeAngeloD011-210.04002—24:18
11T. KonecnyR112060.5700010023:06
13K. HayesR022+140.200002421:32
6T. SanheimD000010.04030—21:30
9I. ProvorovD011-210.03122—21:25
86J. FarabeeL000050.2120010020:59
25J. van RiemsdykL101+130.22000—20:54
21S. LaughtonC000-110.050305719:14
61J. BraunD000-100.00000—16:48
49N. CatesL000-100.030103516:05
48M. FrostC000-220.281003315:22
17Z. MacEwenR011030.02410—13:18
24N. SeelerD101020.11132—13:14
54E. ZamulaD000000.00000—12:32
57W. AllisonR000-120.23400—12:12
44N. DeslauriersL000010.07410—10:24
59J. CatesC000010.060005008:06
58T. LaczynskiC000-100.00100007:26
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Sandstrom(L)36324.8893.20-0.8055:35

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).