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Nashville Predators at New York Rangers

FinalTV BSSO, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Nashville Predators 7-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 7-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mika Zibanejad's goal at 7:22 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were NSH 22, NYR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Jaroslav Halak stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. K'Andre Miller (2 G, 2 A), 2. Jaroslav Halak (22 saves, 1.000), 3. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    K. Miller2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    J. Halak22 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0601006022
NYRNYR611111012734

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:37
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:22
  3. NYR
    J. Trouba (19), K. Miller (30)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    8:14
  4. NYR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    9:09
  5. NYR
    A. Panarin(23)PPG
    A. Fox (53), M. Zibanejad (40)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    0-5
    10:01
  6. NYR
    K. Kakko (21), B. Goodrow (15)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +1 pts
    0-6
    13:36

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.37
    0-7
    9:02

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:30NSHTyson Barrie · Hookingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 8:55NYRPatrick Kane · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Kevin Lankinen2 min
  • 9:48NSHserved by L. Evangelista · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 5:35NYRVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Tommy Novak2 min
  • 9:19NSHTyson Barrie · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 19:39NSHCole Smith · Interferencedrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNSH goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Mika Zibanejad, 1st 7:22 — NYR 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.37F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.27K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.19M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.15B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.13F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.12J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.12P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.12M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.12T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.11F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.11T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.11C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.10F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.10K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.09T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.09F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.07T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.07K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.07K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.06K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.05F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.05T. Motte · Goal · xG 0.05N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.04K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.02J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR7 G · 3.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsNYR
2.10 G
All situations
7 G3.5
1.60 G
Even strength
6 G2.8
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH26%74%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 3.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsNYR
22
Shots on goal
34
67%
Faceoffs
33%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
11
12
Blocked shots
19
6
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22T. BarrieD000-110.03004—21:11
52C. FooteD000-400.00010—20:04
5K. GravelD000-300.00110—19:45
3J. LauzonD000-200.00710—19:31
46J. GrossD000-110.02020—19:21
57D. FabbroD000-100.02020—18:55
82T. NovakC000-130.530008617:40
77L. EvangelistaR000-110.08000—16:54
95M. DucheneC000-210.090003315:55
13Y. TreninC000000.05010015:39
8C. GlassC000-250.292106015:01
26P. TomasinoR000-120.06110—14:23
10C. SissonsC000020.470106013:54
17M. JankowskiL000-300.001007113:53
44K. SherwoodL000-130.35200—13:39
36C. SmithR000000.00302—13:11
47M. McCarronC000-310.0330010012:14
70E. AfanasyevL000-320.09010—11:19
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros29263.8972.99-0.0150:51
32K. Lankinen(L)514.2000.51-3.4909:09

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).