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Rangers at Predators
NHL

New York Rangers at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
1
Nashville Predators
▸2
FinalTV BSSO, MSG·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the New York Rangers 2-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Jankowski's goal at 8:37 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYR 35, NSH 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Juuse Saros stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuso Parssinen (1 G), 2. Juuse Saros (34 saves, .971), 3. Mark Jankowski (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Parssinen1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros34 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Jankowski1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR01111608135
NSHNSH141608218

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    J. Parssinen(1)
    F. Forsberg (10), M. Granlund (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:58

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Jankowski(2)
    R. Josi (6)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    8:37
  2. NYR
    F. Chytil(4)
    A. Fox (13), K. Kakko (4)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    11:56

Penalties

NYR 20 PIM·NSH 22 PIM

1st

  • 1:23NYRRyan Reaves · Slashingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 6:51NSHCole Smith · Hookingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 13:52NYRKaapo Kakko · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 16:18NSHRyan McDonagh · Trippingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min

2nd

  • 2:49NSHMattias Ekholm · Holdingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 5:08NYRserved by S. Blais · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 9:41NYRRyan Lindgren · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
  • 9:41NSHRyan Johansen · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 12:03NSHJeremy Lauzon · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren5 min
  • 12:03NYRRyan Lindgren · Fightingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon5 min

3rd

  • 2:26NYRLibor Hajek · Hookingdrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min
  • 13:41NYRRyan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot5 min
  • 13:41NSHTanner Jeannot · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
  • 13:41NSHJeremy Lauzon · High sticking double minordrawn by Sammy Blais4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalNYR goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Jankowski, 2nd 8:37 — NSH 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.17C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.17F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.17F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.16M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.15N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.12J. Parssinen · Goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.10J. Parssinen · Missed · xG 0.10R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.08R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.07M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.07J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.06T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.04J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.03A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH2 G · 2.1 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNSH
3.11 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
1.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR68%32%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.09 – 2.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNSH
35
Shots on goal
18
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/5
Power play
0/4
20
Penalty minutes
22
32
Hits
25
16
Blocked shots
22
4
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011+110.06230—28:17
10A. PanarinL000-130.38000—23:03
93M. ZibanejadC000050.681005422:23
16V. TrocheckC000-120.562105321:45
20C. KreiderL000030.20200—21:22
79K. MillerD000-200.00120—19:40
8J. TroubaD000-260.21430—19:36
21B. GoodrowC000010.050106017:40
4B. SchneiderD000020.04020—14:25
55R. LindgrenD000000.00327—13:48
72F. ChytilC101030.362004413:28
13A. LafrenièreL000010.12200—13:12
26J. VeseyL000030.19200—13:00
24K. KakkoR011030.14112—12:57
25L. HajekD000+100.00102—11:47
12J. GauthierR000-110.08200—11:02
91S. BlaisL000010.04110—08:10
75R. ReavesR000000.00607—07:26
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(L)18162.8892.08+0.0856:59

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).