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Sabres at Flyers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
Philadelphia Flyers
▸5
FinalTV NBCSP, MSG-B·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Farabee's goal at 3:53 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 69% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were BUF 38, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 3.2 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Owen Tippett (3 G), 2. Kevin Hayes (2 A), 3. Tony DeAngelo (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    O. Tippett3 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    K. Hayes2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. DeAngelo2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF0809221238
PHIPHI1631214522

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    O. Tippett(19)PPG
    C. York (13), T. DeAngelo (25)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    15:10

2nd period

  1. PHI
    J. Farabee(10)
    T. Foerster (1), K. Hayes (33)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:53
  2. PHI
    O. Tippett(20)
    K. Hayes (34), I. Provorov (19)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    13:14
  3. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(10)
    S. Laughton (22)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    18:21

3rd period

  1. BUF
    V. Olofsson(25)PPG
    O. Power (24), C. Mittelstadt (31)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    2:27
  2. PHI
    O. Tippett(21)
    T. DeAngelo (26), N. Seeler (9)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    5:33
  3. BUF
    V. Olofsson(26)PPG
    Z. Girgensons (7), C. Mittelstadt (32)
    wristxG 0.18
    2-5
    19:59

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·PHI 22 PIM

1st

  • 7:37PHINicolas Deslauriers · Cross checkingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
  • 14:24BUFJeff Skinner · Interferencedrawn by Owen Tippett2 min

2nd

  • 19:09PHINick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 19:09BUFPeyton Krebs · Roughingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 19:09PHIWade Allison · Roughingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
  • 19:09BUFKyle Okposo · Roughingdrawn by Wade Allison2 min
  • 19:09PHINicolas Deslauriers · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 0:39PHIScott Laughton · Hookingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min
  • 17:54PHIIvan Provorov · Cross checkingdrawn by Owen Power2 min
  • 19:43PHINick Seeler · High stickingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalBUF goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Joel Farabee, 2nd 3:53 — PHI 69% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.17T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.17W. Allison · Missed · xG 0.12T. Laczynski · On goal · xG 0.12O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.11N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.09J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.09O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.09T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.08B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.08O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.08S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.06O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.06J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.06B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02T. Laczynski · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01
PHI5 G · 1.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsPHI
3.22 G
All situations
5 G1.8
1.50 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
1.72 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF71%29%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 1.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsPHI
38
Shots on goal
22
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/4
Power play
1/1
6
Penalty minutes
22
23
Hits
27
12
Blocked shots
17
3
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25O. PowerD011020.03010—24:22
26R. DahlinD000-230.18310—23:31
78J. BrysonD000-200.09330—21:12
72T. ThompsonC000-320.221003318:10
89A. TuchR000-310.2111010017:45
10H. JokiharjuD000-200.00100—17:35
53J. SkinnerL000-140.430026716:30
37C. MittelstadtC022010.040007016:11
71V. OlofssonL202-140.40110—15:43
19P. KrebsC000080.700022015:03
24D. CozensC000-130.292004514:54
12J. GreenwayL000-220.19310—14:50
28Z. GirgensonsC011030.25310014:24
22J. QuinnR000-120.08110—14:09
29V. HinostrozaC000000.01000013:59
61R. StillmanD000-110.01100—13:49
46I. LyubushkinD000-110.02210—13:37
21K. OkposoR000010.011126013:30
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)22175.7731.83-3.1760:00

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).