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Flames at Coyotes
NHL

Calgary Flames at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
3
Utah Mammoth
▸4
Final/OTTV BSAZX, SN1·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Calgary Flames 4-3 in overtime, Travis Boyd scoring at 3:10. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Boyd's goal at 3:10 of overtime, which took the Coyotes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.8, ARI 2.7; shots on goal were CGY 45, ARI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.3 goals below expected; Connor Ingram stopped 42 of 45 (.933). Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (2 G), 2. Travis Boyd (1 G), 3. Barrett Hayton (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Keller2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    T. Boyd1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    B. Hayton2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY11711411400345
ARIARI112181312425

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(16)
    R. Andersson (33)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:14
  2. ARI
    C. Keller(30)
    B. Hayton (21), J. Välimäki (25)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:22

2nd period

  1. ARI
    M. Maccelli(6)
    J. McBain (7), L. Crouse (16)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    0:55
  2. CGY
    W. Duehr(4)
    M. Lucic (11), N. Hanifin (25)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:03

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(31)SHG
    B. Hayton (22)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +25 pts
    2-3
    2:01
  2. CGY
    J. Huberdeau(14)
    T. Stecher (9), D. Dube (22)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +37 pts
    3-3
    14:59

Overtime

  1. ARI
    T. Boyd(12)
    J. Välimäki (26), M. Maccelli (31)
    backhandxG 0.33win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    3:10

Penalties

CGY 2 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:08ARILawson Crouse · Cross checkingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

3rd

  • 0:24ARIJuuso Välimäki · High stickingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 3:17CGYNikita Zadorov · High stickingdrawn by Laurent Dauphin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCGY goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Boyd, OT 3:10 — ARI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Boyd · Goal · xG 0.33M. Maccelli · Goal · xG 0.26L. Dauphin · On goal · xG 0.22B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.21M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.20M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.13M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.12T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.12C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.11T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.10J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.08C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.08L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.07J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.07L. Dauphin · On goal · xG 0.06L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.06M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.05J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03B. Imama · Missed · xG 0.03B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.00C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI4 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsARI
2.83 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.23 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY52%48%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsARI
45
Shots on goal
25
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
39
Hits
39
10
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD011050.18100—23:38
55N. HanifinD011010.01000—22:43
8C. TanevD000+130.04430—22:10
52M. WeegarD000-120.17300—20:02
11M. BacklundC101020.271006119:56
28E. LindholmC000-160.363206419:47
73T. ToffoliC000-120.18100018:57
88A. MangiapaneL000-140.36100—18:52
20B. ColemanL000020.19300—16:39
16N. ZadorovD000020.15102—16:07
49J. PelletierL000-220.17120—16:04
51T. StecherD011010.03220—15:34
10J. HuberdeauL101030.38110—15:32
29D. DubeC011010.1330010014:38
91N. KadriC000-140.054004614:17
22T. LewisC000+120.004005711:17
17M. LucicL011+110.08200—11:07
71W. DuehrR101+120.07400—10:10
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(O)25214.8402.74-1.2663:10

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).