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Flames at Coyotes
NHL

Calgary Flames at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸6
Utah Mammoth
3
FinalTV BSAZ, SNW·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Utah Mammoth 6-3. The Flames came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Pelletier's goal at 4:53 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were CGY 51, ARI 14. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 12 of 14 (.857), 0.8 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 45 of 51 (.882), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Elias Lindholm (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Toffoli (1 G, 1 A), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    T. Toffoli1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY118220313651
ARIARI033605314

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Lucic(5)
    W. Duehr (1), T. Lewis (8)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:39

2nd period

  1. ARI
    N. Schmaltz(16)PPG
    C. Keller (31), J. Välimäki (18)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    1:11
  2. ARI
    C. Keller(24)
    Unassisted
    xG 0.16win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    9:31
  3. ARI
    M. Maccelli(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    11:06
  4. CGY
    E. Lindholm(17)PPG
    N. Kadri (21), T. Toffoli (27)
    snapxG 0.32win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    12:58
  5. CGY
    T. Toffoli(24)
    D. Dube (20), E. Lindholm (34)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +20 pts
    3-3
    14:00

3rd period

  1. CGY
    J. Pelletier(2)PPG
    N. Hanifin (23), D. Dube (21)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +24 pts
    4-3
    4:53
  2. CGY
    W. Duehr(3)
    C. Tanev (11), M. Weegar (16)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    5-3
    5:17
  3. CGY
    M. Backlund(13)PPG
    J. Pelletier (2), A. Mangiapane (19)
    backhandxG 0.06
    6-3
    16:41

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·ARI 10 PIM

2nd

  • 0:42CGYMikael Backlund · Trippingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 7:09ARIClayton Keller · Trippingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 12:51ARIserved by L. O'Brien · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 0:40CGYRasmus Andersson · Interferencedrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 3:16ARIMatias Maccelli · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 13:28ARIJuuso Välimäki · High stickingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 15:37ARIVictor Soderstrom · Hookingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCGY goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Jakob Pelletier, 3rd 4:53 — CGY 52% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.18C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.16S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.16M. Maccelli · Goal · xG 0.15N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.14C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.14M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.14S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.13N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.13N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.10M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.09M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.08L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.08C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.06L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.04L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.03P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.03V. Soderstrom · Missed · xG 0.02L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.01V. Soderstrom · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01
ARI3 G · 2.1 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsARI
4.46 G
All situations
3 G2.1
3.03 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.43 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY82%18%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.35 – 2.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsARI
51
Shots on goal
14
52%
Faceoffs
48%
3/5
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
25
Hits
31
11
Blocked shots
23
5
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD011-110.02120—22:19
4R. AnderssonD000-150.16122—21:03
8C. TanevD011+120.07010—19:09
52M. WeegarD011030.06200—18:50
28E. LindholmC112030.521105218:46
48D. GilbertD000+110.07630—16:40
16N. ZadorovD000+200.00210—16:35
73T. ToffoliC112060.31000016:34
88A. MangiapaneL011040.60100—16:25
11M. BacklundC101040.261024716:17
91N. KadriC011060.342005516:07
29D. DubeC022010.08200016:02
10J. HuberdeauL000010.55000—15:46
49J. PelletierL112010.13010—14:15
20B. ColemanL000050.5400010014:07
17M. LucicL101+130.4040010013:17
71W. DuehrR112+140.12100—13:02
22T. LewisC011+110.181005512:46
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)14123.8572.15-0.8559:31

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).