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Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frederick Gaudreau's goal at 18:03 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.0 to 3.2; shots on goal were MIN 29, SJS 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.2 goals saved above expected; James Reimer stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Marcus Johansson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Hartman (2 A), 3. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Johansson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    R. Hartman2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    T. Hertl1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN15113311529
SJSSJS01811118237

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:44

2nd period

  1. SJS
    L. Couture(23)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    10:19
  2. MIN
    slapxG 0.33win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    18:03

3rd period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    0:30
  2. SJS
    T. Hertl(19)PPG
    backhandxG 0.41win prob +12 pts
    3-2
    8:36
  3. MIN
    slapxG 0.36win prob +13 pts
    4-2
    11:00
  4. MIN
    M. Boldy(18)EN
    backhandxG 0.49
    5-2
    18:03

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 17:40MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
  • 18:28SJSTomas Hertl · High stickingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 19:47SJSNoah Gregor · Boardingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min

2nd

  • 7:49MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 10:04MINJon Merrill · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 16:18SJSEvgeny Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Marc-Andre Fleury2 min

3rd

  • 8:27MINJohn Klingberg · Holdingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 8:36MINserved by M. Zuccarello · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 9:40SJSWilliam Eklund · Holdingdrawn by Mason Shaw2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalMIN goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Frederick Gaudreau, 2nd 18:03 — MIN 48% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.41W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.26L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.17T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.17L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.14W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.12A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.11F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.10A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.08L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.08F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.08A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Knyzhov · Missed · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.07N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.07W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.06A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.05W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.03A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.03L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.03L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.03N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.03N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.02N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.01N. Knyzhov · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.00O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.00S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.00N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 3.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSJS
4.04 G
All situations
2 G3.2
1.42 G
Even strength
0 G2.2
1.72 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN49%51%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 3.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSJS
29
Shots on goal
37
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/4
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
12
19
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
10
11
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD000010.09130—21:17
14J. Eriksson EkC000+260.871004320:40
46J. SpurgeonD112+210.20030—19:55
5J. MiddletonD000+100.02130—19:53
33A. GoligoskiD000+120.06000—19:33
3J. KlingbergD022+110.12112—18:58
12M. BoldyL112+261.1411010017:59
38R. HartmanR022+130.271047117:25
36M. ZuccarelloR112+120.42010—17:23
4J. MerrillD000+100.01022—16:49
89F. GaudreauC101010.480305616:33
90M. JohanssonL112+220.150105016:33
17M. FolignoL011+100.00410—14:13
70O. SundqvistC000000.0020010013:54
13S. SteelC000000.00100013:53
15M. ShawC000010.061005010:31
26C. DewarC000010.041001309:31
75R. ReavesR000020.07700—08:47
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)37352.9463.19+1.1959:49

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).