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Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Minnesota Wild 5-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Timo Meier's goal at 12:47 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 74% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were MIN 26, SJS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.6 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Erik Karlsson (1 G, 3 A), 2. Timo Meier (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Bonino (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    E. Karlsson1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    T. Meier1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    N. Bonino1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11016010226
SJSSJS21021114525

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    slapxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:44
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    2:20
  3. SJS
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    11:37

2nd period

  1. SJS
    T. Meier(18)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    12:47
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.13win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    17:19
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:54

3rd period

  1. SJS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.57
    2-5
    19:46

Penalties

MIN 28 PIM·SJS 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:35MINSam Steel · Slashingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 7:20SJSErik Karlsson · High stickingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 8:23SJSLogan Couture · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 12:12MINCalen Addison · Hookingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min

2nd

  • 5:03SJSEvgeny Svechnikov · High stickingdrawn by Frederick Gaudreau2 min
  • 11:05SJSJaycob Megna · Fightingdrawn by Mathew Dumba5 min
  • 11:05MINMathew Dumba · Fightingdrawn by Jaycob Megna5 min
  • 12:14MINMason Shaw · Kneeingdrawn by Evgeny Svechnikov5 min
  • 12:14MINMason Shaw · Game misconduct10 min
  • 18:00MINMathew Dumba · Trippingdrawn by Jaycob Megna2 min
  • 19:19SJSMatt Benning · Trippingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min

3rd

  • 18:49MINMatt Boldy · Slashingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalMIN goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Timo Meier, 2nd 12:47 — SJS 74% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Labanc · Goal · xG 0.57L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.24N. Gregor · Goal · xG 0.21L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.16L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.14T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.13O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.13N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.12E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.07M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.07N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.05L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.03S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.03L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.03S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.00
SJS5 G · 2.9 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSJS
2.22 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.12 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN47%53%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSJS
26
Shots on goal
25
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
2/6
28
Penalty minutes
13
15
Hits
16
20
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000+110.03240—23:05
97K. KaprizovL011+120.25100—22:54
36M. ZuccarelloR101+140.29000—22:51
46J. SpurgeonD000-110.10240—22:01
14J. Eriksson EkC101+140.421307119:27
12M. BoldyL011-130.381221718:40
24M. DumbaD000000.00107—17:11
13S. SteelC000000.020024616:55
38R. HartmanR000020.182005016:42
18J. GreenwayL000+120.09000—14:45
89F. GaudreauC000-100.061004714:25
5J. MiddletonD000-310.07140—14:20
4J. MerrillD011+100.03010—12:49
26C. DewarC000-220.081006012:39
2C. AddisonD000000.02012—12:27
33A. GoligoskiD000-230.05010—11:13
75R. ReavesR000-110.07100—09:34
15M. ShawC000-100.051015007:47
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)24204.8332.37-1.6358:18

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).