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Coyotes at Avalanche
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Final/OTTV BSAZ, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2 in overtime, Cale Makar scoring at 1:38. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 1:38 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were ARI 20, COL 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 41 of 44 (.932), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cale Makar (1 G), 2. Alexandar Georgiev (18 saves, .900), 3. Connor Ingram (41 saves, .932).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    A. Georgiev18 saves, .900
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Ingram41 saves, .932

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI212080000220
COLCOL11211201812344

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    D. Malgin(8)
    B. Hunt (4), A. Newhook (14)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:00
  2. ARI
    J. McBain(11)
    L. Crouse (15), M. Maccelli (30)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:50
  3. ARI
    C. Keller(27)
    B. Hayton (18)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    17:18

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(28)PPG
    M. Rantanen (33), A. Lehkonen (28)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    11:25

Overtime

  1. COL
    C. Makar(15)
    N. MacKinnon (51), M. Rantanen (34)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    1:38

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·COL 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:27ARIZack Kassian · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min

2nd

  • 2:14ARITravis Boyd · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 9:55ARIBarrett Hayton · High stickingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 15:49COLArtturi Lehkonen · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalARI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Cale Makar, OT 1:38 — COL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.31E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.27M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.22C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.20D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.14D. Malgin · Goal · xG 0.14L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.12V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.11J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.11L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.09B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.08S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.07J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.06A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.06D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.04L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 3.9 xG · 68 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCOL
2.62 G
All situations
3 G3.9
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G3.4
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI29%71%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 3.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCOL
20
Shots on goal
44
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
11
21
Blocked shots
4
4
Giveaways
6
1
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4J. VälimäkiD000020.11150—22:42
3J. BrownD000000.00210—22:26
90J. MoserD000010.05040—22:13
2P. NemethD000+120.08000—21:24
9C. KellerR101+120.2302010020:02
8N. SchmaltzC000+110.2111010019:19
63M. MaccelliL011010.25000—19:15
29B. HaytonC011+130.291025218:35
67L. CrouseL011010.2611010018:13
77V. SoderstromD000000.08030—17:26
22J. McBainC101+120.460105017:22
12C. MackeyD000000.00400—14:55
72T. BoydC000010.160124214:42
38L. O'BrienC000-110.11410014:17
24B. RitchieR000010.11200—11:41
26L. DauphinC000-110.041105710:48
44Z. KassianR000-110.16002—08:32
36C. FischerR000000.00000—05:32
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(O)44413.9323.88+0.8861:38

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).