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Coyotes at Avalanche
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalTV BSAZX, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 3-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 6:41 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.0 to 1.1; shots on goal were ARI 18, COL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Alexandar Georgiev stopped 17 of 18 (.944). Three stars: 1. Cale Makar (1 G, 2 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 2 A), 3. Valeri Nichushkin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI180604118
COLCOL1901229330

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(31)PPG
    C. Makar (46), V. Nichushkin (26)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    12:52
  2. ARI
    C. Keller(35)
    N. Schmaltz (30), J. Moser (22)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:57

3rd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(17)
    N. MacKinnon (61), V. Nichushkin (27)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +28 pts
    1-2
    6:41
  2. COL
    J. Compher(16)PPG
    C. Makar (47), N. MacKinnon (62)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    1-3
    11:17

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·COL 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:37ARIVictor Soderstrom · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

2nd

  • 15:27COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min

3rd

  • 10:11ARIMilos Kelemen · Hookingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 18:29ARIVictor Soderstrom · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalARI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Cale Makar, 3rd 6:41 — COL 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.50M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.21V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.17V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.16A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.16D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.15D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.14M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.13V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.13M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.13J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.12A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.12D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.12J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.10J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.09V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.08B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.06C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 4.0 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCOL
1.11 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.11 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.00 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI13%87%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.11 – 3.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCOL
18
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
24
Hits
20
20
Blocked shots
5
3
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
90J. MoserD011+120.10110—21:56
2P. NemethD000+110.02220—21:39
77V. SoderstromD000020.01004—21:19
29B. HaytonC000000.000106921:05
4J. VälimäkiD000-120.13250—20:41
9C. KellerR101+130.32000—20:21
8N. SchmaltzC011+130.33000018:56
67L. CrouseL000-100.0241010016:52
72T. BoydC000000.010204316:43
5M. KesselringD000-120.05000—16:28
12C. MackeyD000000.00140—16:27
63M. MaccelliL000-100.00000—16:24
36C. FischerR000010.05000—15:00
22J. McBainC000000.007003313:40
38L. O'BrienC000010.01140013:00
24B. RitchieR000010.08400—09:54
13N. SmithC000000.000004008:49
21M. KelemenL000000.00202—07:56
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)30273.9003.47+0.4758:58

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).