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Blues at Coyotes
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
Utah Mammoth
▸6
FinalTV BSAZ, BSMW·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the St. Louis Blues 6-2. The Blues scored first; the Coyotes answered. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Schmaltz's goal at 16:25 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 55% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were STL 42, ARI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 3.5 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Boyd (2 G), 2. Karel Vejmelka (40 saves, .952), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    T. Boyd2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    K. Vejmelka40 saves, .952
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL112011119242
ARIARI1101849627

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(19)
    J. Faulk (25), J. Kyrou (31)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:12
  2. ARI
    C. Fischer(11)
    C. Mackey (3), M. Maccelli (27)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:53

2nd period

  1. ARI
    N. Schmaltz(20)PPG
    B. Hayton (16), C. Keller (36)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    16:25

3rd period

  1. ARI
    T. Boyd(10)
    C. Keller (37), J. Moser (19)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:01
  2. STL
    P. Buchnevich(20)
    R. Thomas (38), T. Tucker (2)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    8:18
  3. ARI
    T. Boyd(11)
    C. Fischer (12), V. Soderstrom (4)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    10:59
  4. ARI
    C. Keller(26)
    N. Schmaltz (25), B. Hayton (17)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    12:49
  5. ARI
    L. Crouse(21)
    M. Maccelli (28)
    wristxG 0.07
    2-6
    17:54

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·ARI 12 PIM

1st

  • 6:12ARIConnor Mackey · Interferencedrawn by Jakub Vrana2 min
  • 16:21ARIConnor Mackey · Cross checkingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min

2nd

  • 11:37STLJustin Faulk · Interferencedrawn by Jean-Sebastien Dea2 min
  • 14:57STLLogan Brown · Trippingdrawn by Laurent Dauphin2 min
  • 18:28ARIBarrett Hayton · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Alexandrov2 min
  • 19:12ARIJack McBain · High stickingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

3rd

  • 3:14ARIJuuso Välimäki · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Alexandrov2 min
  • 14:18ARITravis Boyd · Holdingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalSTL goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Schmaltz, 2nd 16:25 — ARI 55% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Boyd · Goal · xG 0.36C. Fischer · Goal · xG 0.21C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.18J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.17N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.17V. Soderstrom · On goal · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.13J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.13L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.13T. Boyd · Goal · xG 0.12L. Dauphin · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.11M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.09T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.07L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.07C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.05C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.01L. Dauphin · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.00L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI6 G · 2.5 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsARI
4.02 G
All situations
6 G2.5
2.72 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL73%27%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.95 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsARI
42
Shots on goal
27
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/6
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
12
24
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
16
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
89P. BuchnevichL202+251.09100—21:37
18R. ThomasC011+220.480005621:15
47T. KrugD000-130.05210—20:32
10B. SchennC000030.373105220:15
55C. ParaykoD000-120.06100—20:05
72J. FaulkD011-130.14012—19:26
4N. LeddyD000-110.01300—18:34
25J. KyrouR011+270.57000—18:19
42K. KapanenR000-110.01200—17:43
15J. VranaL000-160.38110—16:32
75T. TuckerD011-210.01210—16:08
6M. ScandellaD000020.06210—14:57
20B. SaadL000-210.28110—13:44
79S. BlaisL000-100.05110—12:48
22L. BrownC000-300.001024411:45
13A. ToropchenkoR000-220.20310—11:44
59N. AlexandrovC000-210.050203611:12
9T. PitlickC000-320.1510010010:01
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)27216.7782.54-3.4659:55

Season series

ARI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).